Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

88.3%Illinois State

11.7%Evansville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -755

Evansville

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 78

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreEvansville 65

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricEvansville

54.3MMH Power Index31.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency98.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

9.2Net Efficiency-13.9

1.0Strength of Schedule1.8

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-23.0

67.5Tempo68.0

54.3%Effective FG%50.0%

16.8%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %22.2%

32.0%Free Throw Rate30.8%

6.2Average Margin-9.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Illinois State

54—58

Evansville

Evansville by 4 • 62.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATEvansville

16-50FG21-48

32.0%FG%44.0%

1-213PT3-13

5.0%3PT%23.0%

21-24FT13-19

88.0%FT%68.0%

33Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists10

11Turnovers12

5Steals2

1Blocks4

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Burford	Guard	31	7-16	0-4	4-6	2	0	1	0	18
Myles Foster	Forward	30	6-8	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	12
Johnny Kinziger	G	26	3-6	1-2	3-3	3	2	0	0	10
Chase Walker	F	11	0-1	0-0	8-8	4	1	0	0	8
Luke Kasubke	Guard	20	0-6	0-6	3-3	2	0	0	0	3
Dalton Banks	Guard	36	0-7	0-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Kendall Lewis	Forward	26	0-2	0-0	1-2	11	0	2	1	1
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ty Pence	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yacine Toumi	F	29	8-11	0-0	1-3	6	0	0	0	17
Joshua Hughes	F	22	5-8	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	2	11
Tanner Cuff	G	31	3-7	0-0	4-5	6	3	0	2	10
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	29	3-7	0-0	2-3	4	0	2	0	8
Antonio Thomas	Guard	33	0-2	0-1	4-4	2	4	0	0	4
Chuck Bailey III	G	18	1-7	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Gage Bobe	Guard	16	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Cam Haffner	G	20	0-3	0-3	2-4	3	2	0	0	2
Sekou Kalle	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.2Possessions62.2

86.8Offensive Efficiency93.2

93.2Defensive Efficiency86.8

-6.4Net Efficiency6.4

33.0%Effective FG%46.9%

44.0%True Shooting %50.9%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.3%

48.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

42.0%3-Point Rate27.1%

0.45Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Evansville won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.