Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

40.2%Pennsylvania

59.8%Columbia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColumbia -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEColumbia -149

Columbia

16-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 73

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreColumbia 78

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricColumbia

52.9MMH Power Index51.9

108.6Offensive Efficiency112.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.2

2.2Net Efficiency7.2

1.9Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.4

69.9Tempo68.2

50.9%Effective FG%54.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.1%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.5Average Margin5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Columbia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColumbia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (112.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–106.4), net efficiency (7.2–2.2), shooting efficiency (54.4–50.9).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (52.9–51.9), strength of schedule (1.9–-1.7), recent form (2.3–-2.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

81—84

Columbia

Columbia by 3 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATColumbia

27-62FG29-52

44.0%FG%56.0%

8-253PT13-27

32.0%3PT%48.0%

19-24FT13-16

79.0%FT%81.0%

37Rebounds24

20Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists21

10Turnovers11

6Steals3

3Blocks3

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Perkins	G	37	7-18	3-9	8-10	8	2	1	0	25
Nick Spinoso	Forward	28	8-12	0-1	1-2	8	2	2	0	17
Ed Holland III	G	15	5-8	0-0	5-7	3	0	0	0	15
Sam Brown	G	36	3-12	3-9	4-4	3	3	2	1	13
Niklas Polonowski	G	8	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Andrew Laczkowski	Guard	23	2-4	0-1	1-1	2	0	0	1	5
Reese McMullen	Guard	22	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	1	0
George Smith	Guard	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Johnnie Walter	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Augustus Gerhart	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Columbia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa	Guard	37	6-11	5-9	7-8	3	3	2	2	24
Kenny Noland	G	26	6-8	3-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	15
Zavian McLean	Guard	12	5-6	1-1	1-1	0	2	0	0	12
Josh Odunowo	F	23	4-8	0-0	0-1	4	2	0	0	8
Avery Brown	G	32	1-5	0-2	5-6	1	5	0	0	7
Noah Robledo	Forward	14	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	1	6
Blair Thompson	F	27	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Zine Eddine Bedri	F	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
Jaden Cooper	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	0	2
Jake Tavroff	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nicolo Romanelli	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

129.6Offensive Efficiency134.4

134.4Defensive Efficiency129.6

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

50.0%Effective FG%68.3%

55.2%True Shooting %70.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.9%

38.7%Free Throw Rate30.8%

40.3%3-Point Rate51.9%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.91

Game Summary

Columbia won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.