Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.6%Bowling Green

72.4%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -262

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 77

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreToledo 82

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricToledo

54.7MMH Power Index58.8

112.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

99.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

13.5Net Efficiency6.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule2.3

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

72.2Tempo69.8

53.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate14.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

38.7%Free Throw Rate30.3%

9.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–54.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.6), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.7), recent form (10.2–1.4).

Bowling Green COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–109.6), net efficiency (13.5–6.4), free throw rate (38.7–30.3).

Final

Bowling Green

72—88

Toledo

Toledo by 16 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATToledo

29-61FG33-59

48.0%FG%56.0%

8-233PT11-26

35.0%3PT%42.0%

6-7FT11-17

86.0%FT%65.0%

26Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists20

11Turnovers10

7Steals8

2Blocks2

15Fouls9

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	38	10-22	1-4	4-4	4	3	0	0	25
Da'Shawn Phillip	Guard	31	5-6	3-3	0-0	6	2	3	0	13
Jason Spurgin	Center	36	5-8	2-5	0-0	3	2	2	0	12
Trey Thomas	Guard	31	5-10	2-7	0-0	0	1	1	0	12
Rashaun Agee	F	27	4-9	0-2	2-3	5	2	0	1	10
Sam Towns	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
DaJion Humphrey	G	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
EJay Greer	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
P.J. Edwards	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	38	8-9	6-7	4-5	7	1	1	0	26
Tyler Cochran	G	33	8-13	0-0	1-3	10	5	5	0	17
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	36	5-13	1-8	4-6	3	10	2	0	15
Javan Simmons	F	35	6-11	0-1	2-3	4	2	0	2	14
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	15	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Sam Lewis	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Sonny Wilson	G	23	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Xavier Thomas	F	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ben Wight	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Ford	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

103.3Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency103.3

-23.0Net Efficiency23.0

54.1%Effective FG%65.3%

56.0%True Shooting %65.6%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.7%

11.5%Free Throw Rate28.8%

37.7%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Toledo won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.