The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.0%The Citadel

84.0%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChattanooga -11.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEChattanooga -525

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 70

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreChattanooga 82

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricChattanooga

35.6MMH Power Index45.9

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.7

116.9Defensive Efficiency110.5

-10.8Net Efficiency2.2

-1.3Strength of Schedule-4.4

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.3Tempo68.1

50.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.1%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

29.6%Free Throw Rate29.2%

-7.2Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Chattanooga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMChattanooga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–35.6), offensive efficiency (112.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (110.5–116.9), net efficiency (2.2–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-4.4), offensive rebounding (28.6–23.5), free throw rate (29.6–29.2).

Final

The Citadel

62—90

Chattanooga

Chattanooga by 28 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATChattanooga

24-58FG35-58

41.0%FG%60.0%

7-213PT11-25

33.0%3PT%44.0%

7-11FT9-14

64.0%FT%64.0%

23Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists18

9Turnovers10

4Steals8

2Blocks4

11Fouls14

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keynan Davis	G	33	8-13	1-3	1-1	1	2	0	1	18
AJ Smith	G	28	4-10	2-3	4-4	1	1	0	0	14
Elijah Morgan	Guard	35	5-12	3-8	0-0	7	3	1	0	13
Madison Durr	G	33	3-9	1-4	2-3	5	6	1	1	9
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	33	3-6	0-1	0-1	3	2	2	0	6
Tony Carpio	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Levi Birkholz	Guard	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Colby McAllister	Guard	7	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kam Roberts	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marcus Pigram	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Josh Davis	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Honor Huff	G	25	5-7	4-6	5-5	3	2	3	0	19
Sam Alexis	F	22	8-11	0-1	1-3	5	1	0	0	17
Jan Zidek	Forward	21	5-7	3-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	13
Trey Bonham	Guard	26	6-7	0-0	0-0	5	5	3	0	12
Tyler Millin	Forward	23	4-6	1-3	0-2	5	1	0	1	9
Myles Che	G	17	2-5	1-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	7
Randy Brady	F	23	2-4	1-2	0-0	8	3	0	1	5
Noah Melson	G	12	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Demetrius Davis	Forward	18	1-3	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	2	3
Rudy Fitzgibbons III	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Lopez	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
TJ Kolbe	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

93.9Offensive Efficiency136.4

136.4Defensive Efficiency93.9

-42.4Net Efficiency42.4

47.4%Effective FG%69.8%

49.0%True Shooting %69.6%

13.6%Turnover Rate15.2%

19.0%Free Throw Rate24.1%

36.2%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Chattanooga won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.