Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Villanova

44.1%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -127

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 78

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreButler 77

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricButler

59.4MMH Power Index52.7

114.7Offensive Efficiency111.7

105.9Defensive Efficiency109.1

8.8Net Efficiency2.6

4.4Strength of Schedule3.1

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

67.3Tempo71.1

53.9%Effective FG%51.2%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

31.4%Free Throw Rate42.9%

5.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.7), offensive efficiency (114.7–111.7), defensive efficiency (105.9–109.1), net efficiency (8.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.4–31.8), free throw rate (42.9–31.4).

Final

Villanova

81—88

Butler

Butler by 7 • 81.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATButler

34-71FG31-72

48.0%FG%43.0%

7-233PT9-29

30.0%3PT%31.0%

6-9FT17-22

67.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds43

5Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists11

14Turnovers10

5Steals8

4Blocks3

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	44	11-18	4-8	2-3	6	5	0	2	28
TJ Bamba	Guard	33	6-10	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	14
Tyler Burton	Forward	43	6-8	0-1	1-2	10	1	0	1	13
Hakim Hart	Guard	37	4-7	1-3	1-1	6	0	1	0	10
Mark Armstrong	Guard	24	4-8	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	0	8
Justin Moore	Guard	40	2-12	0-5	1-2	3	4	1	1	5
Jordan Longino	Guard	19	1-5	0-2	1-1	1	2	1	0	3
Lance Ware	Forward	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brendan Hausen	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Davis	Guard	37	10-20	5-11	3-4	2	0	0	0	28
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	45	7-12	3-5	5-6	11	2	2	1	22
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	44	6-17	1-5	0-0	6	0	2	0	13
Posh Alexander	Guard	44	3-13	0-5	6-8	8	4	3	0	12
Andre Screen	Center	24	3-3	0-0	1-2	4	2	0	0	7
Finley Bizjack	G	16	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Jalen Thomas	Forward	26	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	2	2
Landon Moore	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.9Possessions81.9

98.9Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency98.9

-8.5Net Efficiency8.5

52.8%Effective FG%49.3%

53.8%True Shooting %53.4%

16.6%Turnover Rate12.6%

12.7%Free Throw Rate30.6%

32.4%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.21Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Butler won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 81.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.