Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Colgate

60.9%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -156

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreAmerican University 77

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricAmerican University

48.8MMH Power Index48.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

109.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.7Net Efficiency4.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule-4.3

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.4Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

1.8Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

Colgate

73—54

American University

Colgate by 19 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATAmerican University

30-57FG20-52

53.0%FG%38.0%

9-203PT5-19

45.0%3PT%26.0%

4-6FT9-11

67.0%FT%82.0%

34Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists10

7Turnovers10

2Steals—

3Blocks2

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeff Woodward	Forward	21	7-9	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	16
Chandler Baker	Guard	11	5-7	5-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	15
Keegan Records	Forward	24	7-8	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	14
Brady Cummins	G	29	4-9	1-3	2-4	2	0	0	0	11
Braeden Smith	G	29	3-10	1-4	0-0	4	7	0	0	7
Ryan Moffatt	Forward	29	2-8	1-3	0-0	7	3	1	0	5
Parker Jones	G	21	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Jalen Cox	G	25	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Sam Thomson	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	24	8-14	2-4	1-1	5	3	0	19
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	17	4-5	0-0	2-3	8	0	1	10
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	29	3-6	1-2	2-3	4	0	0	9
Colin Smalls	Guard	27	3-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	0	9
Geoff Sprouse	G	24	2-8	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	5
Matt Mayock	F	24	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	1	2
Lincoln Ball	Guard	26	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0
Elijah Stephens	Guard	25	0-9	0-3	0-0	1	4	0	0
Greg Jones	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

123.5Offensive Efficiency91.4

91.4Defensive Efficiency123.5

32.1Net Efficiency-32.1

60.5%Effective FG%43.3%

61.0%True Shooting %47.2%

11.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

10.5%Free Throw Rate21.2%

35.1%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.86Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Colgate won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.