Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Samford

70.6%East Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -240

East Tennessee State

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 72

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 80

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricEast Tennessee State

54.1MMH Power Index57.4

113.5Offensive Efficiency115.1

108.3Defensive Efficiency102.8

5.2Net Efficiency12.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule-1.6

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.7

69.5Tempo67.4

54.0%Effective FG%55.4%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

42.5%Free Throw Rate35.0%

3.6Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.1), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.5), defensive efficiency (102.8–108.3), net efficiency (12.3–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–3.7), ball security (13.3–15.1), free throw rate (42.5–35.0).

Final

Samford

75—72

East Tennessee State

Samford by 3 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATEast Tennessee State

28-53FG22-58

53.0%FG%38.0%

8-233PT9-22

35.0%3PT%41.0%

11-17FT19-28

65.0%FT%68.0%

30Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds16

17Assists15

9Turnovers12

6Steals6

4Blocks5

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nathan Johnson	Forward	23	6-7	4-4	2-3	1	0	0	0	18
Jaden Campbell	Guard	31	4-9	0-3	4-4	7	1	2	1	12
Rylan Jones	Guard	31	4-9	2-4	0-1	3	5	0	0	10
AJ Staton-McCray	G	24	3-8	0-4	3-5	2	3	0	2	9
Riley Allenspach	F	11	4-5	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	0	8
Garrett Hicks	Guard	18	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	7
Josh Holloway	G	10	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Achor Achor	F	21	1-3	1-2	0-1	5	2	0	1	3
Zach Loveday	Center	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Lukas Walls	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Dallas Graziani	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	3	0	0
Chandler Leopard	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ebby Asamoah	Guard	35	4-9	4-7	3-3	4	2	0	1	15
Gabe Sisk	G	23	5-10	3-6	2-3	6	2	0	0	15
Quimari Peterson	G	31	3-10	2-4	4-4	0	1	3	0	12
Jadyn Parker	Forward	28	3-7	0-0	4-8	11	1	0	3	10
Jaden Seymour	Forward	25	2-9	0-3	6-9	6	3	0	0	10
Karon Boyd	F	31	4-9	0-2	0-1	7	4	1	0	8
Braden Ilic	Forward	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Allen Strothers	G	24	0-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

113.3Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency113.3

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

60.4%Effective FG%45.7%

61.4%True Shooting %50.5%

13.8%Turnover Rate17.8%

32.1%Free Throw Rate48.3%

43.4%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Samford won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.