Southeast Missouri State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%Southeast Missouri State

41.6%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSoutheast Missouri State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINESoutheast Missouri State -140

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 74

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 72

Team Comparison

Southeast Missouri StateMetricLittle Rock

51.6MMH Power Index44

105.3Offensive Efficiency103.0

99.8Defensive Efficiency108.2

5.5Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.5

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

70.8Tempo68.5

50.6%Effective FG%50.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

39.3%Free Throw Rate28.6%

3.9Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southeast Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSoutheast Missouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–44.0), offensive efficiency (105.3–103.0), defensive efficiency (99.8–108.2), net efficiency (5.5–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Southeast Missouri State

61—66

Little Rock

Little Rock by 5 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southeast Missouri StateTEAM STATLittle Rock

25-60FG27-55

42.0%FG%49.0%

8-283PT1-11

29.0%3PT%9.0%

3-6FT11-18

50.0%FT%61.0%

30Rebounds40

9Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists16

17Turnovers16

6Steals10

1Blocks5

17Fouls6

Player Box Score

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Biel	F	24	5-10	3-6	0-0	4	1	2	0	13
Aquan Smart	Guard	22	5-10	0-3	1-1	1	1	2	0	11
Rob Martin	G	30	3-8	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Adam Larson	Forward	23	3-8	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Evan Eursher	Guard	24	2-7	2-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Marqueas Bell	G	16	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	6
Josh Earley	Forward	18	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
David Idada	C	17	0-1	0-0	2-4	4	2	2	1	2
BJ Ward	G	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Braxton Stacker	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Mason Hanback	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KK Robinson	G	39	4-12	0-3	5-6	3	5	4	0	13
Makhel Mitchell	Forward	19	5-11	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	2	12
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	31	5-8	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	11
Bradley Douglas	G	31	3-7	1-4	2-4	4	2	2	1	9
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	30	4-7	0-2	0-0	10	3	1	0	8
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

88.0Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency88.0

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

48.3%Effective FG%50.0%

48.5%True Shooting %51.9%

24.0%Turnover Rate23.7%

10.0%Free Throw Rate32.7%

46.7%3-Point Rate20.0%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.