South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%South Alabama

69.2%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -225

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreTroy 78

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricTroy

51.4MMH Power Index54.1

110.3Offensive Efficiency112.6

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

6.4Net Efficiency8.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.4Tempo70.4

53.2%Effective FG%52.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

4.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.4–2.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.1), ball security (12.8–17.1).

Final

South Alabama

79—83

Troy

Troy by 4 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATTroy

27-62FG29-64

44.0%FG%45.0%

11-213PT8-30

52.0%3PT%27.0%

14-18FT17-24

78.0%FT%71.0%

33Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds16

9Assists9

10Turnovers11

6Steals7

2Blocks5

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrell Jones	Guard	38	7-16	1-4	4-5	6	3	3	0	19
Thomas Howell	Forward	28	6-9	2-3	4-4	5	1	0	1	18
Marcus Millender	G	26	5-8	3-3	3-4	2	1	1	0	16
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	37	5-11	2-5	3-5	6	2	1	1	15
Judah Brown	Forward	30	3-5	3-3	0-0	5	0	1	0	9
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	30	1-12	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Samuel Tabe	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Julian Margrave	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Marshall Kearing	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	26	9-14	3-7	2-2	8	2	0	0	23
Myles Rigsby	G	29	7-14	2-4	5-5	4	0	1	0	21
Christyon Eugene	Guard	31	3-7	2-5	3-4	2	4	2	1	11
Theo Seng	F	16	2-6	1-3	2-4	6	0	0	0	7
Jackson Fields	F	27	2-3	0-1	1-2	5	0	2	2	5
Thomas Dowd	F	24	1-4	0-3	3-5	4	2	0	0	5
Randarius Jones	C	8	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Tayton Conerway	G	14	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	1	4
Victor Valdes	F	14	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	11	0-4	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

112.9Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency112.9

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

52.4%Effective FG%51.6%

56.0%True Shooting %55.0%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.0%Free Throw Rate37.5%

33.9%3-Point Rate46.9%

0.90Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Troy won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.