Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

76.0%Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL161.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern -317

Southern

17-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 76

Projected Total161.9

Projected ScoreSouthern 85

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricSouthern

38.7MMH Power Index44.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency108.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.2Net Efficiency2.3

-6.0Strength of Schedule-7.5

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

72.6Tempo73.3

51.4%Effective FG%51.3%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate40.3%

-3.8Average Margin1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–38.7), offensive efficiency (108.7–106.4), defensive efficiency (106.4–111.6), net efficiency (2.3–-5.2).

Arkansas-Pine Bluff COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-6.0–-7.5), shooting efficiency (51.4–51.3).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

66—80

Southern

Southern by 14 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATSouthern

18-52FG32-69

35.0%FG%46.0%

4-203PT2-19

20.0%3PT%11.0%

26-31FT14-20

84.0%FT%70.0%

41Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists9

17Turnovers10

3Steals7

1Blocks2

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	37	3-6	0-0	14-15	7	1	0	0	20
Rashad Williams	Guard	31	4-13	3-7	4-4	1	1	0	0	15
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	32	3-6	1-4	4-4	4	2	1	0	11
Caleb Stokes	Forward	7	3-5	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	0	7
Ismael Plet	Forward	28	2-6	0-0	2-4	14	2	1	0	6
Zachary Reinhart	G	1	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Joe French	Guard	30	1-10	0-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Trejon Ware	G	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Robert Lewis	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Kaine McColley	Guard	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	36	9-18	1-5	2-3	4	1	1	0	21
Derrick Tezeno	Forward	22	7-10	0-1	3-3	5	0	0	0	17
Jariyon Wilkens	Forward	19	5-8	0-2	3-4	5	0	1	0	13
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	34	4-13	0-1	2-3	4	5	1	1	10
Jalen Reynolds	Forward	19	3-4	0-0	2-2	6	1	2	0	8
Brandon Davis	Guard	33	2-9	0-6	2-2	5	2	0	0	6
Dre'Shawn Allen	Guard	12	2-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Delang Muon	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-2	4	0	2	1	0
Antoine Jacks	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
JaRonn Wilkens	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brentay Noel	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Johnson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

88.5Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency88.5

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

38.5%Effective FG%47.8%

49.5%True Shooting %51.0%

23.7%Turnover Rate12.9%

59.6%Free Throw Rate29.0%

38.5%3-Point Rate27.5%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Southern won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.