Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Minnesota

40.0%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -150

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 74

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScorePenn State 72

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricPenn State

50.5MMH Power Index42.3

109.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.7Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.4Net Efficiency-8.4

3.2Strength of Schedule5.3

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

63.6Tempo67.5

54.1%Effective FG%53.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

0.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–42.3), defensive efficiency (107.7–117.6), net efficiency (1.4–-8.4), recent form (-6.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–109.1), strength of schedule (5.3–3.2), ball security (15.6–16.5).

Final

Minnesota

83—74

Penn State

Minnesota by 9 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATPenn State

28-52FG28-62

54.0%FG%45.0%

4-143PT5-19

29.0%3PT%26.0%

23-26FT13-18

88.0%FT%72.0%

33Rebounds28

8Offensive Rebounds10

18Assists14

12Turnovers7

3Steals9

4Blocks4

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	34	8-14	1-2	5-6	4	3	0	0	22
Cam Christie	Guard	37	6-10	1-5	4-4	8	5	2	0	17
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	26	4-7	0-1	6-6	5	0	0	0	14
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	38	4-7	0-1	3-4	3	4	0	0	11
Parker Fox	Forward	19	4-5	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	4	11
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	26	2-4	2-3	2-2	6	5	1	0	8
Braeden Carrington	G	10	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Ihnen	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Kadyn Betts	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Wilson	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	6-10	3-5	1-2	2	6	1	0	16
Qudus Wahab	Forward	27	7-8	0-0	1-2	5	0	2	2	15
Kanye Clary	G	32	3-12	0-2	5-6	4	5	0	0	11
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	28	4-10	1-2	2-2	3	2	4	0	11
Demetrius Lilley	C	13	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	8
Zach Hicks	Forward	23	3-8	1-6	0-0	1	1	1	0	7
Puff Johnson	G	10	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	2-4	0	0	0	1	2
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jameel Brown	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

122.1Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency122.1

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

57.7%Effective FG%49.2%

64.5%True Shooting %52.4%

17.6%Turnover Rate10.4%

50.0%Free Throw Rate29.0%

26.9%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.