Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Arizona State

55.7%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon State -126

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 75

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreOregon State 77

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricOregon State

51MMH Power Index48.5

108.1Offensive Efficiency105.8

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

-2.8Net Efficiency-4.5

7.0Strength of Schedule4.5

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.6Tempo67.2

51.3%Effective FG%50.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

40.2%Free Throw Rate43.9%

-1.9Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–48.5), offensive efficiency (108.1–105.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-4.5), strength of schedule (7.0–4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), recent form (0.0–-7.5), free throw rate (43.9–40.2).

Final

Arizona State

71—84

Oregon State

Oregon State by 13 • 76.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATOregon State

23-66FG26-46

35.0%FG%57.0%

3-263PT3-14

12.0%3PT%21.0%

22-25FT29-49

88.0%FT%59.0%

26Rebounds47

8Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists11

7Turnovers15

11Steals4

2Blocks1

29Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jose Perez	Guard	30	5-12	0-1	9-9	5	1	0	0	19
Frankie Collins	G	29	5-16	1-7	3-3	1	3	6	0	14
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	13	6-7	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	2	13
Jamiya Neal	Guard	33	2-8	2-6	2-2	5	1	0	0	8
Bryant Selebangue	F	9	2-2	0-0	2-4	0	0	1	0	6
Adam Miller	G	25	0-7	0-4	5-6	4	3	1	0	5
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	28	1-6	0-5	0-0	1	1	3	0	2
Kamari Lands	G	17	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Akil Watson	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Braelon Green	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Pope	G	36	8-13	1-5	2-2	4	6	1	0	19
Tyler Bilodeau	F	30	4-6	1-1	9-12	7	1	0	0	18
Michael Rataj	G	34	5-11	0-3	6-10	10	1	2	1	16
Christian Wright	Guard	24	2-2	1-1	5-6	2	0	1	0	10
KC Ibekwe	C	22	4-6	0-0	0-4	6	1	0	0	8
Thomas Ndong	F	10	1-3	0-2	3-4	3	0	0	0	5
Dexter Akanno	Guard	22	1-3	0-1	1-4	3	1	0	0	3
Jayden Stevens	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	1-3	0	0	0	0	3
Josiah Lake II	G	14	0-0	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	0	2
Justin Rochelin	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
DaJohn Craig	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Gavin Marrs	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.1Possessions76.1

93.3Offensive Efficiency110.4

110.4Defensive Efficiency93.3

-17.1Net Efficiency17.1

37.1%Effective FG%59.8%

45.6%True Shooting %60.6%

9.1%Turnover Rate19.9%

37.9%Free Throw Rate106.5%

39.4%3-Point Rate30.4%

1.29Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 76.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.