NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%NC State

40.8%Syracuse

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -145

Syracuse

15-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreSyracuse 78

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricSyracuse

60.1MMH Power Index52.2

118.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

9.8Net Efficiency2.6

6.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-15.1

70.2Tempo69.0

55.1%Effective FG%52.9%

13.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.2%

6.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–52.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–109.2), net efficiency (9.8–2.6), strength of schedule (6.4–5.6).

Syracuse COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–108.6), offensive rebounding (29.0–28.2), free throw rate (36.2–35.7).

Final

NC State

65—77

Syracuse

Syracuse by 12 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATSyracuse

24-67FG25-56

36.0%FG%45.0%

8-253PT7-18

32.0%3PT%39.0%

9-11FT20-32

82.0%FT%63.0%

41Rebounds40

14Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists15

14Turnovers9

4Steals10

2Blocks4

23Fouls13

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Horne	Guard	37	5-14	3-10	2-2	5	4	0	0	15
Casey Morsell	Guard	38	4-13	0-5	6-6	5	0	1	1	14
DJ Burns	Forward	28	5-14	0-0	0-1	4	3	0	0	10
LJ Thomas	G	11	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	7
Jayden Taylor	Guard	20	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	1	6
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	18	2-6	1-3	0-0	7	2	1	0	5
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	12	1-3	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	12	1-4	1-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Breon Pass	Guard	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Michael O'Connell	Guard	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Syracuse

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J.J. Starling	G	40	9-17	4-9	4-5	4	0	2	0	26
Judah Mintz	Guard	38	3-9	0-1	14-18	4	9	4	0	20
Chris Bell	F	21	5-9	3-6	0-0	2	1	1	1	13
Benny Williams	Forward	25	5-10	0-1	1-2	5	0	0	2	11
Quadir Copeland	G	18	2-6	0-1	1-5	4	1	1	0	5
Maliq Brown	F	28	1-1	0-0	0-2	7	4	1	0	2
Justin Taylor	G	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Peter Carey	Center	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Kyle Cuffe Jr.	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Mounir Hima	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

90.7Offensive Efficiency107.4

107.4Defensive Efficiency90.7

-16.7Net Efficiency16.7

41.8%Effective FG%50.9%

45.0%True Shooting %54.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate12.6%

16.4%Free Throw Rate57.1%

37.3%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Syracuse won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.