UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.9%UCF

73.1%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -272

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 72

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreCincinnati 80

Team Comparison

UCFMetricCincinnati

57.1MMH Power Index61.5

113.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

110.0Defensive Efficiency97.3

3.3Net Efficiency8.0

6.6Strength of Schedule5.1

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

71.2Tempo69.4

53.0%Effective FG%50.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate17.0%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.4Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

UCF

57—68

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 11 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATCincinnati

21-58FG24-52

36.0%FG%46.0%

8-183PT3-14

44.0%3PT%21.0%

7-9FT17-25

78.0%FT%68.0%

29Rebounds39

12Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists15

14Turnovers12

8Steals3

4Blocks3

18Fouls12

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Sellers	G	33	7-14	2-4	3-4	2	2	1	0	19
Marchelus Avery	Forward	31	6-13	4-6	3-4	7	1	1	1	19
Antwann Jones	G	25	3-8	1-2	1-1	6	2	2	0	8
Thierno Sylla	C	29	3-7	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	2	7
Darius Johnson	Guard	34	1-9	0-3	0-0	1	3	4	0	2
Nils Machowski	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Omar Payne	Forward	19	0-4	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	1	0
Tyler Hendricks	G	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	35	8-14	2-6	3-3	7	2	0	1	21
John Newman III	Forward	35	6-10	0-1	7-9	7	1	1	0	19
Day Day Thomas	G	31	3-11	0-4	3-4	1	4	2	0	9
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	27	3-4	0-0	2-6	7	0	0	0	8
Simas Lukosius	Guard	34	2-5	1-3	2-3	3	6	0	1	7
Ody Oguama	Forward	11	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	1	4
Jizzle James	G	11	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Josh Reed	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

90.3Offensive Efficiency107.8

107.8Defensive Efficiency90.3

-17.4Net Efficiency17.4

43.1%Effective FG%49.0%

45.8%True Shooting %53.2%

21.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

15.5%Free Throw Rate48.1%

31.0%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.