Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Air Force

96.1%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -22.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -2464

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 61

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreFresno State 83

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricFresno State

23MMH Power Index47.1

91.3Offensive Efficiency104.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-27.2Net Efficiency0.0

6.2Strength of Schedule1.5

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

67.4Tempo69.4

49.0%Effective FG%51.3%

21.9%Turnover Rate18.2%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

35.9%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-18.3Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–23.0), offensive efficiency (104.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–1.5), free throw rate (35.9–35.5).

Final

Air Force

70—84

Fresno State

Fresno State by 14 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATFresno State

27-55FG27-51

49.0%FG%53.0%

11-253PT11-25

44.0%3PT%44.0%

5-8FT19-25

63.0%FT%76.0%

23Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists19

11Turnovers10

7Steals9

3Blocks1

17Fouls11

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Beau Becker	Forward	33	9-15	4-8	0-0	4	0	2	0	22
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	36	6-10	3-6	0-0	2	6	2	0	15
Rytis Petraitis	F	40	4-12	1-4	5-8	5	5	1	3	14
Byron Brown	Guard	15	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Ethan Taylor	Guard	37	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	6
Kellan Boylan	F	32	1-5	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	3
Luke Kearney	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Enoch Boakye	Forward	33	9-10	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	1	19
Xavier DuSell	Guard	31	5-11	5-11	0-1	3	0	1	0	15
Jalen Weaver	Guard	16	3-5	1-2	7-8	4	1	0	0	14
Isaiah Pope	Guard	28	4-10	1-4	4-4	4	5	0	0	13
Isaiah Hill	Guard	40	3-8	3-5	2-2	4	10	3	0	11
Donavan Yap	Guard	16	2-4	1-2	3-4	2	1	1	0	8
Leo Colimerio	Forward	23	1-3	0-1	2-4	3	2	3	0	4
Eduardo Andre	Center	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaac Taveras	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency135.7

135.7Defensive Efficiency113.1

-22.6Net Efficiency22.6

59.1%Effective FG%63.7%

59.5%True Shooting %66.8%

17.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

14.5%Free Throw Rate49.0%

45.5%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.