NJIT

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%NJIT

94.3%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -19.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -1654

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNJIT 60

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreUMBC 79

Team Comparison

NJITMetricUMBC

38.5MMH Power Index59.1

98.1Offensive Efficiency113.0

107.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

-9.1Net Efficiency14.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-5.6

-5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

68.3Tempo65.5

47.0%Effective FG%54.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-6.2Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–38.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.2), net efficiency (14.0–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.9–25.2).

Final

NJIT

75—74

UMBC

NJIT by 1 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NJITTEAM STATUMBC

29-66FG27-59

44.0%FG%46.0%

7-233PT9-22

30.0%3PT%41.0%

10-13FT11-14

77.0%FT%79.0%

38Rebounds33

16Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists10

11Turnovers13

7Steals1

4Blocks1

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	34	10-22	1-6	1-1	9	1	1	1	22
Kjell de Graaf	Forward	35	5-10	1-3	7-7	7	1	1	3	18
Adam Hess	Guard	34	4-9	3-6	1-2	2	1	2	0	12
Levi Lawal	F	17	3-5	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	0	7
Mekhi Gray	G	31	3-11	0-3	0-1	5	2	0	0	6
Jeffrey Akintolu	F	22	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Sebastian Robinson	G	20	2-4	1-1	0-0	3	4	2	0	5
Isaac Hester	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Goldberg	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Anderson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	37	8-14	4-8	1-2	8	2	0	0	21
Dion Brown	G	23	7-14	2-5	2-2	4	0	0	0	18
Franck Emmou	G	18	6-9	3-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	17
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	27	3-5	0-0	4-6	11	1	0	1	10
Ashton Reese	Guard	31	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Ace Valentine	G	26	1-6	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Marlon Short	Guard	24	0-3	0-0	2-2	0	2	0	0	2
Devan Sapp	Guard	12	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Regimantas Ciunys	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

110.3Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

49.2%Effective FG%53.4%

52.0%True Shooting %56.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

19.7%Free Throw Rate23.7%

34.8%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

NJIT won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.