Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%Montana State

53.3%Portland State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -114

Portland State

20-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 74

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScorePortland State 76

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricPortland State

53.6MMH Power Index50.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency109.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

9.5Net Efficiency9.1

-3.7Strength of Schedule-5.6

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

68.1Tempo70.1

55.1%Effective FG%51.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.5Average Margin6.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.3), net efficiency (9.5–9.1), strength of schedule (-3.7–-5.6).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–28.1), free throw rate (36.8–30.7).

Final

Montana State

91—94

Portland State

Portland State by 3 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATPortland State

30-55FG30-62

55.0%FG%48.0%

11-203PT14-25

55.0%3PT%56.0%

20-26FT20-28

77.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists21

15Turnovers12

5Steals9

3Blocks3

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	36	8-17	5-9	5-8	8	6	4	0	26
Brandon Walker	F	19	7-9	1-1	1-1	4	1	1	0	16
Tyler Patterson	Guard	37	4-6	4-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	12
Brian Goracke	Forward	22	2-6	1-2	7-7	5	0	0	1	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	29	3-7	0-2	5-6	5	1	0	0	11
Chika Nduka	Forward	16	5-6	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	10
Eddie Turner III	Guard	36	1-4	0-1	0-1	0	7	0	0	2
Jaden Geron	G	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	2	2

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Allen	Forward	33	7-12	4-4	8-10	7	0	1	0	26
Isiah Kirby	Guard	33	6-11	3-4	5-6	2	4	1	0	20
Bobby Harvey	Guard	30	6-10	4-7	1-2	2	3	1	0	17
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	29	6-14	1-2	3-5	10	3	2	1	16
Ismail Habib	G	31	2-10	1-6	0-0	1	7	0	0	5
Kendall Munson	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	3-5	4	0	2	1	5
Cole Farrell	G	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	3
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Hayden Curtiss	Center	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

119.1Offensive Efficiency123.0

123.0Defensive Efficiency119.1

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

64.5%Effective FG%59.7%

67.6%True Shooting %62.4%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.7%

47.3%Free Throw Rate45.2%

36.4%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Portland State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.