LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%LSU

90.1%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -14.1

PROJECTED TOTAL173.0

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -910

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 79

Projected Total173.0

Projected ScoreAlabama 94

Team Comparison

LSUMetricAlabama

54.2MMH Power Index69.5

115.5Offensive Efficiency121.6

111.3Defensive Efficiency111.2

4.2Net Efficiency10.4

4.5Strength of Schedule9.4

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

70.5Tempo74.7

53.4%Effective FG%54.9%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.0%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

41.9%Free Throw Rate36.9%

2.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–54.2), offensive efficiency (121.6–115.5), defensive efficiency (111.2–111.3), net efficiency (10.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–32.1), free throw rate (41.9–36.9).

Final

LSU

88—109

Alabama

Alabama by 21 • 78.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATAlabama

30-71FG35-63

42.0%FG%56.0%

11-283PT14-34

39.0%3PT%41.0%

17-27FT25-28

63.0%FT%89.0%

33Rebounds42

14Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists23

10Turnovers12

7Steals8

4Blocks4

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Williams III	G	24	5-11	2-5	4-5	3	0	0	0	16
Derek Fountain	Forward	19	6-9	2-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	14
Will Baker	Forward	21	4-9	1-3	3-4	4	1	0	0	12
Jalen Cook	Guard	20	4-13	3-9	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Jordan Wright	Guard	31	4-12	1-5	1-3	1	5	1	1	10
Jalen Reed	F	20	3-5	1-1	2-2	4	1	0	2	9
Trae Hannibal	Guard	20	2-6	0-0	3-6	2	2	3	0	7
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	11	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Hunter Dean	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Tyrell Ward	G	19	0-4	0-2	2-3	3	2	3	1	2

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Sears	Guard	30	5-11	0-5	11-11	3	5	1	0	21
Latrell Wrightsell	G	29	6-12	5-10	2-2	1	0	2	0	19
Aaron Estrada	Guard	31	6-13	2-6	4-5	6	7	2	0	18
Grant Nelson	Forward	24	3-4	0-1	6-6	5	1	0	1	12
Rylan Griffen	G	18	4-7	4-6	0-0	2	4	0	0	12
Mo Dioubate	F	14	4-4	0-0	0-1	1	2	1	1	8
Sam Walters	F	11	2-3	1-2	2-2	5	1	0	1	7
Jarin Stevenson	F	20	2-5	1-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	5
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-1	3	0	1	0	3
Nick Pringle	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Max Scharnowski	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Mohamed Wague	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Kai Spears	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.6Possessions78.6

112.0Offensive Efficiency138.7

138.7Defensive Efficiency112.0

-26.7Net Efficiency26.7

50.0%Effective FG%66.7%

52.5%True Shooting %71.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate15.5%

38.0%Free Throw Rate44.4%

39.4%3-Point Rate54.0%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.92

Game Summary

Alabama won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 78.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.