VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.2%VCU

28.8%Davidson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -247

Davidson

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 76

Projected Total147.3

Projected ScoreDavidson 71

Team Comparison

VCUMetricDavidson

65.7MMH Power Index53

116.4Offensive Efficiency109.9

103.3Defensive Efficiency103.7

13.1Net Efficiency6.2

5.4Strength of Schedule0.1

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.6

69.5Tempo65.5

53.7%Effective FG%53.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.9%

9.1Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–53.0), offensive efficiency (116.4–109.9), defensive efficiency (103.3–103.7), net efficiency (13.1–6.2).

Final

VCU

63—58

Davidson

VCU by 5 • 59.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATDavidson

18-48FG19-52

38.0%FG%37.0%

10-263PT4-19

38.0%3PT%21.0%

17-21FT16-19

81.0%FT%84.0%

27Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists9

6Turnovers12

9Steals3

2Blocks4

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Shulga	Guard	34	5-9	4-8	4-6	5	2	1	0	18
Tobi Lawal	F	21	3-5	0-0	7-8	6	0	2	0	13
Zeb Jackson	Guard	19	2-4	1-2	4-4	1	1	2	0	9
Joe Bamisile	Guard	19	3-10	2-6	0-1	3	2	0	1	8
Kuany Kuany	Guard	20	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Sean Bairstow	Guard	31	1-7	0-2	2-2	5	4	0	0	4
Jason Nelson	G	29	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	3	3	0	3
Christian Fermin	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Michael Belle	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Kochera	Guard	32	8-15	1-5	2-2	8	0	0	0	19
Reed Bailey	F	34	1-5	0-1	8-9	9	2	1	1	10
Grant Huffman	Guard	34	2-8	0-2	4-6	4	5	0	0	8
Bobby Durkin	F	29	3-10	2-5	0-0	7	2	2	0	8
Hunter Adam	G	25	2-5	0-3	2-2	2	0	0	2	6
Angelo Brizzi	G	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Achile Spadone	Guard	14	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Sean Logan	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Jarvis Moss	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.5Possessions59.5

105.9Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency105.9

8.4Net Efficiency-8.4

47.9%Effective FG%40.4%

54.3%True Shooting %47.5%

10.2%Turnover Rate20.0%

43.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

54.2%3-Point Rate36.5%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

VCU won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 59.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.