Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%Cal State Bakersfield

91.9%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -16.5

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -1135

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 74

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 90

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricCal State Fullerton

32.2MMH Power Index49.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

112.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-12.4Net Efficiency1.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.2

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

73.0Tempo76.3

46.4%Effective FG%52.6%

18.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-9.1Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (108.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–112.6), net efficiency (1.7–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–25.5), free throw rate (43.8–39.6).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

50—68

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 18 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

17-58FG19-46

29.0%FG%41.0%

2-163PT8-23

13.0%3PT%35.0%

14-17FT22-32

82.0%FT%69.0%

35Rebounds41

12Offensive Rebounds9

4Assists9

13Turnovers14

8Steals6

1Blocks5

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	36	5-13	1-6	0-0	2	2	5	0	11
Dalph Panopio	Guard	17	2-5	0-1	6-7	2	0	0	0	10
Marvin McGhee III	G	24	3-10	0-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Kareem Watson	F	18	2-5	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	6
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	21	0-1	0-0	5-6	8	0	0	0	5
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	10	2-5	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	14	1-5	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Jaden Alexander	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-1	5	0	0	0	2
Corey Stephenson	G	12	1-6	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	19	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Tom Mark	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	30	6-12	1-4	4-6	2	1	1	0	17
Max Jones	Guard	31	3-8	2-4	1-3	5	2	1	0	9
John Mikey Square	Not Available	18	1-2	0-0	5-5	5	0	0	1	7
Kendrick De Luna	F	11	3-3	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	6
Donovan Oday	G	11	1-4	1-2	2-3	1	1	0	0	5
Grayson Carper	Guard	20	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Beril Kabamba	Forward	18	0-5	0-2	3-4	8	2	0	1	3
Vincent Lee	Forward	14	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	1	3
Zachary Visentin	Center	6	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Jalen Cooper	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Antwan Robinson	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

75.0Offensive Efficiency101.9

101.9Defensive Efficiency75.0

-27.0Net Efficiency27.0

31.0%Effective FG%50.0%

37.8%True Shooting %55.6%

19.4%Turnover Rate21.1%

29.3%Free Throw Rate69.6%

27.6%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.31Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.