Loyola Marymount

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.6%Loyola Marymount

94.4%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -18.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1686

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLoyola Marymount 63

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 82

Team Comparison

Loyola MarymountMetricSaint Mary's

49.9MMH Power Index70.7

107.0Offensive Efficiency116.7

103.8Defensive Efficiency97.4

3.2Net Efficiency19.3

0.5Strength of Schedule3.0

-1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

69.4Tempo66.3

52.8%Effective FG%53.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate16.6%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

32.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.2Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–49.9), offensive efficiency (116.7–107.0), defensive efficiency (97.4–103.8), net efficiency (19.3–3.2).

Final

Loyola Marymount

65—70

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 5 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Loyola MarymountTEAM STATSaint Mary's

27-52FG23-54

52.0%FG%43.0%

8-183PT6-21

44.0%3PT%29.0%

3-4FT18-20

75.0%FT%90.0%

31Rebounds26

6Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists13

12Turnovers4

—Steals5

1Blocks2

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Loyola Marymount

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Keli Leaupepe	Forward	36	6-15	3-6	0-0	6	2	0	15
Will Johnston	G	28	6-9	3-4	0-0	1	2	0	15
Justin Wright	G	20	6-7	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	14
Justice Hill	Guard	23	4-7	0-2	0-0	4	5	0	8
Dominick Harris	G	34	2-9	1-4	1-2	1	1	0	6
Alex Merkviladze	Forward	32	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	3
Lars Thiemann	Center	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2
Michael Graham	Forward	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	8-18	0-3	9-10	1	7	1	0	25
Joshua Jefferson	F	30	6-10	2-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	15
Alex Ducas	Guard	30	4-8	3-5	0-0	6	2	2	0	11
Aidan Mahaney	G	31	2-9	1-6	4-4	1	0	0	0	9
Mitchell Saxen	Center	22	3-5	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	1	8
Luke Barrett	Forward	13	0-3	0-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
Chris Howell	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Mason Forbes	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Harry Wessels	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

108.9Offensive Efficiency117.3

117.3Defensive Efficiency108.9

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

59.6%Effective FG%48.1%

60.3%True Shooting %55.1%

20.0%Turnover Rate6.7%

7.7%Free Throw Rate37.0%

34.6%3-Point Rate38.9%

1.08Assist / Turnover3.25

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.