Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Texas State

33.3%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -200

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreLouisiana 67

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricLouisiana

49.4MMH Power Index38.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency99.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.2

4.3Net Efficiency-10.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule1.5

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

68.6Tempo64.1

51.3%Effective FG%47.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate29.5%

2.9Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–38.6), offensive efficiency (107.7–99.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.2), net efficiency (4.3–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-4.7), ball security (16.8–18.4).

Final

Texas State

46—66

Louisiana

Louisiana by 20 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATLouisiana

18-51FG26-61

35.0%FG%43.0%

2-123PT6-22

17.0%3PT%27.0%

8-13FT8-9

62.0%FT%89.0%

31Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists8

20Turnovers15

7Steals10

6Blocks4

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Dawson	Guard	25	4-9	2-5	0-0	1	0	3	0	10
Brandon Love	Forward	22	2-4	0-0	4-6	4	1	0	2	8
Davion Sykes	G	20	3-5	0-1	2-2	4	2	1	2	8
Jordan Mason	G	27	3-8	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Christian Turner	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	2-5	4	0	1	1	6
Kaden Gumbs	G	30	2-9	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Chris Nix	Forward	16	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	2
Elijah Tate	Guard	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Coleton Benson	G	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dontae Horne	G	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Joshua O'Garro	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Themus Fulks	G	31	9-14	2-3	3-3	3	0	1	1	23
Kobe Julien	Forward	37	8-18	1-8	2-2	10	0	1	1	19
Hosana Kitenge	F	33	5-9	0-0	3-4	6	2	1	2	13
Joe Charles	Not Available	37	2-6	1-2	0-0	13	2	3	0	5
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	32	1-6	1-4	0-0	4	3	2	0	3
Michael Thomas	Guard	16	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Kyran Ratliff	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Brandon Hardy	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
London Fields	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

67.3Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency67.3

-29.3Net Efficiency29.3

37.3%Effective FG%47.5%

40.2%True Shooting %50.6%

28.9%Turnover Rate22.3%

25.5%Free Throw Rate14.8%

23.5%3-Point Rate36.1%

0.35Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.