Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.2%Arkansas State

7.8%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1182

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 89

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 73

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricUL Monroe

57.7MMH Power Index30.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency101.1

105.3Defensive Efficiency117.1

7.8Net Efficiency-16.0

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

73.3Tempo71.7

52.7%Effective FG%48.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate40.6%

5.8Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.1), net efficiency (7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.4), free throw rate (40.6–39.6).

Final

Arkansas State

82—85

UL Monroe

UL Monroe by 3 • 80.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

24-73FG30-76

33.0%FG%39.0%

11-393PT4-13

28.0%3PT%31.0%

23-28FT21-29

82.0%FT%72.0%

50Rebounds48

20Offensive Rebounds18

16Assists10

12Turnovers10

5Steals7

4Blocks4

25Fouls22

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrian Ford	G	38	5-10	2-6	8-8	12	1	1	0	20
Taryn Todd	Guard	30	6-17	3-6	3-4	3	1	1	1	18
Julian Lual	Guard	24	3-12	2-9	0-0	5	2	1	1	8
Izaiyah Nelson	F	12	3-5	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	0	7
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	21	2-2	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	0	6
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	20	2-10	1-6	1-1	4	2	0	0	6
Zane Butler	Guard	6	1-2	1-1	3-3	0	0	0	0	6
Caleb Fields	Guard	42	0-7	0-4	5-8	3	10	1	0	5
Avery Felts	Guard	20	1-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	1	1	3
Noah McDavid	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Lado Laku	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nika Metskhvarishvili	Forward	35	10-19	2-5	2-3	11	2	0	1	24
Jacob Wilson	G	29	5-8	0-1	6-8	1	1	2	1	16
Makai Willis	C	28	5-13	0-1	2-2	8	1	0	1	12
Tyreese Watson	G	30	3-9	1-2	3-5	6	1	0	0	10
Jalen Bolden	G	16	1-1	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	1	6
Savion Gallion	Guard	15	2-6	1-2	1-1	4	0	0	0	6
Tyreke Locure	Guard	39	1-6	0-2	2-3	3	3	3	0	4
AD Diedhiou	Forward	11	1-5	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	0	3
Jerry Ngopot	F	15	1-6	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	0	2
P.D. McCraney	Guard	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

80.1Possessions80.1

102.4Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency102.4

-3.7Net Efficiency3.7

40.4%Effective FG%42.1%

47.5%True Shooting %47.3%

15.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

38.4%Free Throw Rate38.2%

53.4%3-Point Rate17.1%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UL Monroe won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 80.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.