Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.4%Northern Illinois

89.6%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -862

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 82

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricCentral Michigan

29.2MMH Power Index44

99.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

111.6Defensive Efficiency111.0

-11.9Net Efficiency-5.1

-2.1Strength of Schedule-0.5

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

69.7Tempo69.3

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

21.3%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-8.3Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (105.9–99.7), defensive efficiency (111.0–111.6), net efficiency (-5.1–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–29.6), free throw rate (39.6–32.9).

Final

Northern Illinois

77—84

Central Michigan

Central Michigan by 7 • 78.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATCentral Michigan

27-66FG26-65

41.0%FG%40.0%

7-263PT6-21

27.0%3PT%29.0%

16-25FT26-37

64.0%FT%70.0%

41Rebounds44

13Offensive Rebounds17

7Assists12

14Turnovers13

2Steals7

5Blocks2

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Amos	F	39	7-13	2-5	9-12	7	1	0	1	25
Zarique Nutter	F	50	9-16	0-2	5-9	7	1	1	1	23
David Coit	G	49	6-23	3-15	0-0	0	1	0	0	15
Zion Russell	G	44	3-6	2-2	0-0	5	3	0	0	8
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	3	4
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	32	1-3	0-0	0-2	11	0	1	0	2
Ethan Butler	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Will Lovings-Watts	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	0	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Paul McMillan IV	G	34	5-12	2-6	9-9	3	0	1	0	21
Markus Harding	C	42	7-10	0-1	4-9	9	1	0	0	18
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	35	6-15	0-2	4-5	1	2	3	0	16
Brian Taylor	Guard	43	4-11	0-2	5-6	12	3	1	1	13
Derrick Butler	Guard	36	3-8	3-6	1-2	4	2	0	0	10
Aidan Rubio	G	37	1-8	1-4	3-4	3	2	1	0	6
Jemal Davis	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	0-2	5	1	1	1	0
Cayden Vasko	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
KJ Oduor	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.8Possessions78.8

97.7Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency97.7

-8.9Net Efficiency8.9

46.2%Effective FG%44.6%

49.4%True Shooting %50.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

37.9%Free Throw Rate56.9%

39.4%3-Point Rate32.3%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Central Michigan won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 78.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.