Bowling Green

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.8%Bowling Green

27.2%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -268

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBowling Green 76

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Team Comparison

Bowling GreenMetricBall State

54.7MMH Power Index41.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency101.7

99.1Defensive Efficiency104.7

13.5Net Efficiency-3.0

-4.7Strength of Schedule-3.9

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

72.2Tempo66.4

53.4%Effective FG%48.3%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

38.7%Free Throw Rate33.0%

9.8Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–104.7), net efficiency (13.5–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-4.7).

Final

Bowling Green

81—72

Ball State

Bowling Green by 9 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Bowling GreenTEAM STATBall State

29-56FG24-52

52.0%FG%46.0%

8-163PT6-14

50.0%3PT%43.0%

15-20FT18-22

75.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds8

11Assists10

12Turnovers13

8Steals2

3Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	34	13-18	2-2	0-1	6	2	1	1	28
Jason Spurgin	Center	30	5-8	2-3	5-6	7	2	0	1	17
Rashaun Agee	F	29	5-9	0-1	4-6	10	1	2	0	14
Trey Thomas	Guard	30	2-8	2-5	3-3	1	4	2	0	9
DaJion Humphrey	G	21	1-3	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	5
P.J. Edwards	G	19	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	2	3	0	4
EJay Greer	Guard	15	1-1	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	1	4
Da'Shawn Phillip	Guard	22	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	38	7-11	1-3	7-8	8	1	0	0	22
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	39	6-9	1-2	2-2	7	3	1	0	15
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	24	4-11	0-1	6-6	1	2	1	0	14
Davion Bailey	G	34	3-9	3-6	2-4	3	2	0	2	11
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	32	3-8	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	7
Mason Jones	F	22	1-4	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Ben Hendriks	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

120.9Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency120.9

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

58.9%Effective FG%51.9%

61.8%True Shooting %57.6%

18.0%Turnover Rate19.3%

35.7%Free Throw Rate42.3%

28.6%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.