Western Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.2%Western Michigan

90.8%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -15.4

PROJECTED TOTAL159.2

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -987

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 72

Projected Total159.2

Projected ScoreToledo 87

Team Comparison

Western MichiganMetricToledo

42.8MMH Power Index58.8

106.9Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.6Defensive Efficiency109.6

-6.7Net Efficiency6.4

2.0Strength of Schedule2.3

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

69.9Tempo69.8

50.3%Effective FG%55.1%

17.3%Turnover Rate14.6%

31.0%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

34.6%Free Throw Rate30.3%

-4.7Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–42.8), offensive efficiency (116.0–106.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–113.6), net efficiency (6.4–-6.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.0–30.4), free throw rate (34.6–30.3).

Final

Western Michigan

63—88

Toledo

Toledo by 25 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western MichiganTEAM STATToledo

26-57FG33-52

46.0%FG%63.0%

6-213PT4-11

29.0%3PT%36.0%

5-12FT18-22

42.0%FT%82.0%

24Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds7

18Assists17

16Turnovers13

10Steals10

—Blocks2

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Titus Wright	Center	22	6-10	0-0	0-0	3	0	3	12
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	40	4-10	2-4	1-4	0	6	2	11
JaVaughn Hannah	G	35	4-8	1-5	2-2	2	3	3	11
Seth Hubbard	G	32	4-11	2-8	0-0	4	2	0	10
Anthony Crump	Forward	29	5-9	0-0	0-3	8	4	1	10
Max Burton	F	11	2-3	0-0	2-3	2	2	1	6
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	22	1-5	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	3
Javonte Brown	Center	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jack Stefanski	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Simmons	F	25	8-11	0-0	3-4	6	2	0	1	19
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	27	5-6	0-0	5-6	5	2	3	0	15
Tyler Cochran	G	26	6-7	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	0	12
Sonny Wilson	G	24	5-6	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Sam Lewis	G	18	2-6	0-2	5-7	3	2	4	1	9
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	27	2-6	1-3	3-3	3	4	0	0	8
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	17	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Bryce Ford	G	15	1-1	1-1	2-2	2	2	0	0	5
Grgur Brcic	F	15	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Marko Maletic	Guard	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Xavier Thomas	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

91.8Offensive Efficiency128.3

128.3Defensive Efficiency91.8

-36.4Net Efficiency36.4

50.9%Effective FG%67.3%

50.2%True Shooting %70.5%

23.3%Turnover Rate19.0%

21.1%Free Throw Rate42.3%

36.8%3-Point Rate21.2%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Toledo won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.