Mississippi State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Mississippi State

80.9%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOle Miss -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEOle Miss -424

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi State 75

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreOle Miss 85

Team Comparison

Mississippi StateMetricOle Miss

44.6MMH Power Index53

107.4Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.5

-5.8Net Efficiency-0.3

5.0Strength of Schedule5.4

-17.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

72.3Tempo69.5

51.6%Effective FG%50.6%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

29.8%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.9%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-4.2Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ole Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOle Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–44.6), offensive efficiency (109.2–107.4), defensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), net efficiency (-0.3–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.6–50.6), offensive rebounding (29.8–28.0).

Final

Mississippi State

82—86

Ole Miss

Ole Miss by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi StateTEAM STATOle Miss

30-56FG32-63

54.0%FG%51.0%

8-183PT12-30

44.0%3PT%40.0%

14-20FT10-13

70.0%FT%77.0%

38Rebounds25

14Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists22

15Turnovers7

4Steals12

—Blocks2

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Josh Hubbard	G	33	7-15	3-7	4-4	4	7	1	21
Cameron Matthews	Forward	33	8-11	0-0	0-3	12	5	0	16
Dashawn Davis	Guard	16	6-8	2-2	1-1	1	0	0	15
Shakeel Moore	Guard	35	5-11	2-6	2-2	0	2	2	14
Tolu Smith	Forward	25	2-5	0-0	5-7	7	1	0	9
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	33	1-4	1-3	0-1	5	1	1	3
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	2

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Murray	Guard	39	7-18	4-11	3-4	4	11	1	1	21
Matthew Murrell	Guard	32	7-14	3-7	3-4	1	1	0	0	20
T.J. Caldwell	G	27	6-8	4-5	2-2	3	0	2	0	18
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	38	4-11	1-5	1-1	4	6	3	0	10
Brandon Murray	Not Available	18	3-4	0-1	0-0	4	2	3	0	6
Allen Flanigan	Guard	19	2-4	0-1	1-1	3	2	2	1	5
Moussa Cisse	Center	11	2-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	4
Rashaud Marshall	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jamarion Sharp	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Austin Nunez	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

122.6Offensive Efficiency128.6

128.6Defensive Efficiency122.6

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

60.7%Effective FG%60.3%

62.6%True Shooting %62.2%

22.6%Turnover Rate10.4%

35.7%Free Throw Rate20.6%

32.1%3-Point Rate47.6%

1.27Assist / Turnover3.14

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.