San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%San Diego State

49.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -102

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricColorado State

60.1MMH Power Index55.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency117.1

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.9

11.0Net Efficiency7.2

3.8Strength of Schedule0.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.8Tempo64.7

53.2%Effective FG%58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

7.8Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

71—79

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATColorado State

27-60FG28-52

45.0%FG%54.0%

10-233PT7-21

43.0%3PT%33.0%

7-7FT16-22

100.0%FT%73.0%

31Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds7

14Assists18

15Turnovers10

8Steals11

2Blocks3

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Waters	Guard	30	7-9	3-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	17
Lamont Butler	Guard	30	6-15	3-5	1-1	5	4	4	0	16
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	33	6-11	0-0	1-1	7	2	2	0	13
Miles Byrd	G	23	4-6	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	9
Micah Parrish	Guard	20	2-8	2-8	3-3	3	0	0	0	9
Darrion Trammell	Guard	21	1-8	1-3	0-0	3	4	0	0	3
Elijah Saunders	F	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Jay Pal	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Miles Heide	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	37	8-14	3-6	1-1	3	6	3	0	20
Nique Clifford	Guard	30	8-11	2-4	2-3	10	5	4	1	20
Joel Scott	Forward	30	4-7	2-3	5-10	3	2	1	0	15
Josiah Strong	Guard	33	3-6	0-3	4-4	3	2	1	1	10
Patrick Cartier	Forward	28	2-5	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	1	6
Jalen Lake	Guard	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Joe Palmer	Guard	10	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Kyan Evans	G	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Rashaan Mbemba	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Javonte Johnson	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency107.7

-12.1Net Efficiency12.1

53.3%Effective FG%60.6%

56.1%True Shooting %63.3%

22.6%Turnover Rate15.3%

11.7%Free Throw Rate42.3%

38.3%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.