Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.0%Indiana State

92.0%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -1150

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 69

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreBelmont 86

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricBelmont

44.4MMH Power Index61.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency118.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

-1.3Net Efficiency14.9

0.1Strength of Schedule-0.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

70.3Tempo70.7

53.6%Effective FG%60.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.7%

-0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–44.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (103.7–106.0), net efficiency (14.9–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-0.2).

Final

Indiana State

78—72

Belmont

Indiana State by 6 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATBelmont

25-52FG29-61

48.0%FG%48.0%

10-303PT10-32

33.0%3PT%31.0%

18-21FT4-5

86.0%FT%80.0%

38Rebounds24

9Offensive Rebounds3

14Assists17

15Turnovers7

3Steals11

—Blocks2

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	37	6-16	5-11	0-0	3	3	0	17
Jayson Kent	Forward	28	5-6	0-1	4-4	10	0	0	14
Ryan Conwell	G	35	3-11	2-9	4-4	5	2	1	12
Robbie Avila	C	34	3-8	1-4	5-6	7	5	1	12
Julian Larry	Guard	34	3-4	1-2	3-5	5	3	1	10
Xavier Bledson	Guard	21	3-4	0-1	2-2	6	1	0	8
Aaron Gray	Forward	6	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	5
Masen Miller	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Dia	F	31	9-17	2-9	2-2	5	5	0	0	22
Cade Tyson	G	31	8-15	3-7	1-1	5	1	1	0	20
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	38	6-12	3-7	0-0	2	7	4	1	15
Isaiah Walker	G	40	3-5	1-3	0-0	6	2	2	0	7
Jayce Willingham	Guard	16	2-4	1-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	5
Win Miller	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Brigham Rogers	F	14	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	1	3	1	1
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	20	0-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

115.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency115.2

8.9Net Efficiency-8.9

57.7%Effective FG%55.7%

62.9%True Shooting %56.8%

22.1%Turnover Rate10.4%

40.4%Free Throw Rate8.2%

57.7%3-Point Rate52.5%

0.93Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.