Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Valparaiso

53.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDrake -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEDrake -113

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 73

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreDrake 75

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricDrake

49.9MMH Power Index46.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency109.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

0.8Net Efficiency0.4

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

67.5Tempo68.6

48.7%Effective FG%52.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.4%

0.5Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–46.4), defensive efficiency (105.8–109.1), net efficiency (0.8–0.4), recent form (-0.1–-11.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.5–106.6), shooting efficiency (52.2–48.7), ball security (14.9–15.6).

Final

Valparaiso

70—81

Drake

Drake by 11 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATDrake

27-61FG25-62

44.0%FG%40.0%

8-223PT9-25

36.0%3PT%36.0%

8-13FT22-27

62.0%FT%81.0%

30Rebounds48

2Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists17

7Turnovers11

8Steals2

4Blocks—

22Fouls12

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	35	12-21	4-8	4-6	2	3	2	1	32
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	32	6-11	0-0	0-0	4	5	0	0	12
Cooper Schwieger	F	28	3-8	3-7	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Jahari Williamson	G	32	2-7	1-4	1-4	3	0	2	0	6
Jaxon Edwards	G	30	2-7	0-1	1-1	4	0	2	2	5
Ola Ajiboye	F	7	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jerome Palm	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	1	2
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Connor Barrett	Guard	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Kaspar Sepp	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Darnell Brodie	Forward	29	7-8	0-0	5-9	18	1	0	19
Tucker DeVries	F	30	4-11	2-4	7-7	5	4	2	17
Atin Wright	Guard	35	5-14	4-8	0-0	2	4	0	14
Kevin Overton	G	30	4-12	2-8	2-2	4	2	0	12
Carlos Rosario	Forward	13	4-4	1-1	1-1	2	1	0	10
Nate Ferguson	Forward	11	0-2	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	4
Conor Enright	G	29	0-6	0-2	3-4	5	4	0	3
Kyron Gibson	Guard	23	1-5	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

95.9Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency95.9

-15.1Net Efficiency15.1

50.8%Effective FG%47.6%

52.1%True Shooting %54.1%

9.7%Turnover Rate14.9%

21.3%Free Throw Rate43.5%

36.1%3-Point Rate40.3%

1.43Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Drake won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.