Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Penn State

71.3%Rutgers

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRutgers -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINERutgers -248

Rutgers

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreRutgers 79

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricRutgers

42.3MMH Power Index45.9

109.2Offensive Efficiency104.2

117.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

-8.4Net Efficiency-8.0

5.3Strength of Schedule3.9

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.6

67.5Tempo67.4

53.4%Effective FG%47.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.0%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

34.6%Free Throw Rate36.3%

-5.7Average Margin-5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Rutgers HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRutgers holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–42.3), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.6), net efficiency (-8.0–-8.4), recent form (-1.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–104.2), strength of schedule (5.3–3.9), shooting efficiency (53.4–47.4).

Final

Penn State

61—46

Rutgers

Penn State by 15 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATRutgers

20-52FG17-50

38.0%FG%34.0%

5-233PT1-17

22.0%3PT%6.0%

16-21FT11-22

76.0%FT%50.0%

40Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists9

16Turnovers20

13Steals9

4Blocks4

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	5-11	1-3	4-6	5	10	5	1	15
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	22	6-10	2-4	0-0	7	1	3	1	14
Qudus Wahab	Forward	31	2-7	0-0	5-6	11	0	1	2	9
Puff Johnson	G	11	1-2	0-1	6-6	2	0	0	0	8
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	2-7	2-7	0-0	7	0	1	0	6
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	24	2-4	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	5
Demetrius Lilley	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Jameel Brown	G	15	0-6	0-6	0-1	1	0	1	0	0
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
RayQuawndis Mitchell	Guard	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Griffiths	G	24	5-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	11
Jamichael Davis	G	23	5-12	0-3	0-2	4	2	2	1	10
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	29	3-5	0-0	2-3	6	0	0	3	8
Derek Simpson	G	31	1-7	0-4	5-7	8	3	2	0	7
Aundre Hyatt	Forward	14	1-4	0-2	3-5	2	0	1	0	5
Austin Williams	Guard	19	1-3	0-1	1-5	2	0	0	0	3
Antwone Woolfolk	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Noah Fernandes	Guard	22	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Mawot Mag	Forward	15	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Oskar Palmquist	Forward	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

89.3Offensive Efficiency67.3

67.3Defensive Efficiency89.3

22.0Net Efficiency-22.0

43.3%Effective FG%35.0%

49.2%True Shooting %38.0%

23.9%Turnover Rate28.8%

40.4%Free Throw Rate44.0%

44.2%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.45

Game Summary

Penn State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.