Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.8%Arkansas

30.2%Missouri

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL168.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -231

Missouri

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Projected Total168.0

Projected ScoreMissouri 82

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricMissouri

69.3MMH Power Index57.2

122.2Offensive Efficiency115.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.7

12.4Net Efficiency5.4

8.6Strength of Schedule5.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

73.8Tempo68.8

56.4%Effective FG%55.2%

12.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

36.5%Free Throw Rate43.1%

9.2Average Margin3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–57.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.1), net efficiency (12.4–5.4), strength of schedule (8.6–5.0).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.7–109.8), offensive rebounding (34.8–31.8), free throw rate (43.1–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

91—84

Missouri

Arkansas by 7 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATMissouri

33-61FG27-59

54.0%FG%46.0%

4-63PT10-20

67.0%3PT%50.0%

21-26FT20-22

81.0%FT%91.0%

35Rebounds26

12Offensive Rebounds11

14Assists13

15Turnovers18

10Steals9

6Blocks4

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tramon Mark	G	34	8-13	0-0	6-8	4	1	3	2	22
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	34	8-13	0-0	3-4	14	2	0	0	19
Keyon Menifield Jr.	Guard	33	4-11	2-3	6-6	2	3	0	0	16
Jalen Graham	Forward	25	6-11	0-0	1-2	1	4	4	3	13
Layden Blocker	G	29	2-2	0-0	5-6	3	2	1	0	9
Chandler Lawson	Forward	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Khalif Battle	Guard	15	2-6	2-2	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tamar Bates	Guard	39	9-18	1-3	10-10	3	3	5	0	29
Sean East II	Guard	37	3-8	1-2	4-4	6	7	0	1	11
Anthony Robinson II	G	19	3-7	2-5	2-2	0	1	3	0	10
Connor Vanover	Center	14	3-5	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	7
Nick Honor	Guard	29	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Noah Carter	Forward	16	2-5	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	1	6
Curt Lewis	G	14	2-6	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	6
Jordan Butler	F	13	1-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Aidan Shaw	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Mabor Majak	Center	7	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

119.0Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency119.0

9.2Net Efficiency-9.2

57.4%Effective FG%54.2%

62.0%True Shooting %60.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate23.5%

42.6%Free Throw Rate37.3%

9.8%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.72

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.