Santa Clara

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.0%Santa Clara

76.0%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -317

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSanta Clara 71

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 79

Team Comparison

Santa ClaraMetricSaint Mary's

64.9MMH Power Index70.7

118.7Offensive Efficiency116.7

104.4Defensive Efficiency97.4

14.3Net Efficiency19.3

4.0Strength of Schedule3.0

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

69.8Tempo66.3

54.8%Effective FG%53.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

35.9%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

25.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

10.0Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–64.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–104.4), net efficiency (19.3–14.3), recent form (18.6–4.1).

Santa Clara COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.7–116.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.0), shooting efficiency (54.8–53.1).

Final

Santa Clara

77—82

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 5 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Santa ClaraTEAM STATSaint Mary's

26-62FG24-49

42.0%FG%49.0%

8-193PT7-18

42.0%3PT%39.0%

17-22FT27-39

77.0%FT%69.0%

33Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists16

9Turnovers9

5Steals4

3Blocks6

26Fouls18

Player Box Score

Santa Clara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carlos Marshall Jr.	Guard	36	8-15	2-5	5-6	2	1	2	0	23
Adama-Alpha Bal	Guard	32	6-15	3-7	3-5	1	2	2	1	18
Johnny O'Neil	Forward	25	6-14	2-5	1-3	9	0	0	0	15
Camaron Tongue	Forward	20	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	0	8
Jake Ensminger	G	32	1-2	1-1	2-2	7	3	0	1	5
Francisco Caffaro	Center	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	4
Tyeree Bryan	G	20	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jalen Benjamin	Guard	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Brenton Knapper	G	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Christian Hammond	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke McEldon	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	7-15	1-3	5-6	3	6	3	0	20
Alex Ducas	Guard	31	4-7	4-7	3-4	6	1	0	0	15
Mitchell Saxen	Center	33	4-6	0-0	4-10	6	2	0	2	12
Aidan Mahaney	G	32	2-8	0-5	7-8	3	2	0	1	11
Joshua Jefferson	F	30	3-7	1-2	3-4	4	4	1	1	10
Chris Howell	G	10	1-1	1-1	5-6	0	1	0	0	8
Luke Barrett	Forward	17	3-3	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2	6
Mason Forbes	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Harry Wessels	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

117.6Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

48.4%Effective FG%56.1%

53.1%True Shooting %60.7%

13.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

35.5%Free Throw Rate79.6%

30.6%3-Point Rate36.7%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.