Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.0%Saint Francis

86.0%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -614

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 68

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 82

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricCentral Connecticut

32.7MMH Power Index44.4

101.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

114.7Defensive Efficiency107.0

-13.5Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-7.7

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

70.6Tempo66.3

49.8%Effective FG%54.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-9.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–32.7), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.7), net efficiency (4.4–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Saint Francis

62—63

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 1 • 64.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

21-56FG21-45

38.0%FG%47.0%

6-193PT6-19

32.0%3PT%32.0%

14-18FT15-22

78.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists12

10Turnovers15

8Steals8

2Blocks8

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carlos Lopez	G	38	7-13	3-8	5-7	1	2	1	0	22
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	22	4-8	2-2	3-3	7	2	0	1	13
Elijah Wilborn	F	24	4-11	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	0	9
Aidan Harris	Forward	33	1-4	1-1	3-4	7	2	2	1	6
Ace Talbert	G	35	2-12	0-5	0-0	5	2	1	0	4
Chris Moncrief	G	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	2	0	4
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	18	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Miles Webb	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Braylen Blue	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Amos	Guard	30	5-9	2-5	1-3	7	2	0	1	13
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	28	4-7	3-4	0-0	1	3	4	0	11
Jayden Brown	Forward	21	4-5	0-1	1-1	9	0	1	4	9
Jordan Jones	Guard	28	1-9	0-4	6-6	3	5	1	0	8
Abdul Momoh	F	17	2-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	1	5
Tre Breland	Guard	34	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.1Possessions64.1

96.7Offensive Efficiency98.3

98.3Defensive Efficiency96.7

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

42.9%Effective FG%53.3%

48.0%True Shooting %56.8%

15.5%Turnover Rate23.6%

32.1%Free Throw Rate48.9%

33.9%3-Point Rate42.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.