Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Tarleton State

56.6%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAbilene Christian -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAbilene Christian -130

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 74

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricAbilene Christian

44.6MMH Power Index42.4

103.2Offensive Efficiency101.1

101.6Defensive Efficiency104.1

1.6Net Efficiency-3.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.4

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

72.2Tempo69.6

49.0%Effective FG%48.9%

19.9%Turnover Rate20.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

42.8%Free Throw Rate42.0%

1.1Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–42.4), offensive efficiency (103.2–101.1), defensive efficiency (101.6–104.1), net efficiency (1.6–-3.0).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-2.3), recent form (-5.3–-6.7), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8).

Final

Tarleton State

76—73

Abilene Christian

Tarleton State by 3 • 72.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATAbilene Christian

28-66FG28-57

42.0%FG%49.0%

6-173PT5-16

35.0%3PT%31.0%

14-18FT12-21

78.0%FT%57.0%

41Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists8

12Turnovers13

7Steals7

4Blocks3

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lue Williams	Guard	43	10-17	0-3	5-5	6	0	1	1	25
Jakorie Smith	Forward	35	6-16	3-9	2-2	4	3	2	0	17
Devon Barnes	G	25	3-10	2-4	3-4	2	0	1	0	11
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	40	3-8	0-0	3-4	12	0	1	1	9
Miles Lewis	Guard	16	3-7	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	1	6
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	37	2-4	1-1	0-1	8	2	0	1	5
Dario Domingos	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Traivar Jackson	F	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	1
Bubu Benjamin	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Adam Moussa	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Airion Simmons	Forward	37	9-15	3-6	3-4	7	2	0	1	24
Kavion McClain	F	27	2-3	0-0	6-7	2	2	0	0	10
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	39	4-9	0-3	1-2	3	1	2	0	9
Ali Dibba	G	30	3-7	1-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	8
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	19	4-8	0-2	0-0	1	1	3	0	8
JV Seat	Guard	12	2-4	1-2	0-2	2	0	0	0	5
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Leonardo Bettiol	F	34	1-6	0-0	1-4	11	1	1	1	3
Cameron Steele	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Yaniel Rivera	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.3Possessions72.3

105.1Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency105.1

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

47.0%Effective FG%53.5%

51.0%True Shooting %54.5%

16.5%Turnover Rate18.1%

27.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

25.8%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.