Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%Idaho State

79.9%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -398

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 74

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricNorthern Colorado

45.9MMH Power Index53.7

111.0Offensive Efficiency116.0

113.4Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.4Net Efficiency8.4

0.2Strength of Schedule-4.3

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

67.1Tempo71.1

52.2%Effective FG%56.9%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate27.8%

-1.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Idaho State

86—91

Northern Colorado

Northern Colorado by 5 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

27-71FG30-60

38.0%FG%50.0%

10-293PT9-20

34.0%3PT%45.0%

22-35FT22-29

63.0%FT%76.0%

48Rebounds36

19Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists14

11Turnovers10

4Steals8

6Blocks4

22Fouls27

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brayden Parker	Center	43	8-20	3-9	7-15	9	2	1	3	26
Miguel Tomley	Guard	43	8-18	4-9	2-2	2	2	0	0	22
Maleek Arington	G	50	4-11	2-4	7-8	8	7	0	0	17
Isaiah Griffin	F	18	3-6	0-2	1-1	5	0	0	0	7
AJ Burgin	Guard	39	1-6	0-1	4-4	7	1	2	0	6
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	28	2-4	1-3	1-4	8	1	1	1	6
Trent Johnson	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kiree Huie	F	18	0-4	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	2	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	45	5-12	2-7	6-6	10	4	1	1	18
Jaron Rillie	Guard	46	4-9	2-3	7-9	7	6	4	1	17
Zach Bloch	G	37	3-5	3-5	3-3	1	0	0	0	12
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	35	4-8	2-3	1-2	7	1	0	0	11
Brock Wisne	F	27	5-10	0-1	0-0	3	2	3	0	10
Langston Reynolds	G	16	5-5	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	1	10
Dejour Reaves	G	23	2-7	0-1	5-5	2	1	0	0	9
Theo Hughes	Center	21	2-4	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

108.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency108.6

-6.3Net Efficiency6.3

45.1%Effective FG%57.5%

49.1%True Shooting %61.7%

13.8%Turnover Rate12.7%

49.3%Free Throw Rate48.3%

40.8%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.18Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.