Stetson

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Stetson

48.5%North Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Alabama -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -106

North Alabama

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreStetson 76

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 77

Team Comparison

StetsonMetricNorth Alabama

40MMH Power Index34.9

107.2Offensive Efficiency104.4

115.9Defensive Efficiency116.7

-8.7Net Efficiency-12.3

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.2

-2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.3

68.7Tempo66.5

53.8%Effective FG%48.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

33.6%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-6.0Average Margin-8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Stetson HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMStetson holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (40.0–34.9), offensive efficiency (107.2–104.4), defensive efficiency (115.9–116.7), net efficiency (-8.7–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHball security (17.2–18.3), offensive rebounding (31.5–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–33.6).

Final

Stetson

72—79

North Alabama

North Alabama by 7 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

StetsonTEAM STATNorth Alabama

29-66FG31-62

44.0%FG%50.0%

8-263PT7-19

31.0%3PT%37.0%

6-11FT10-13

55.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists13

5Turnovers7

4Steals2

3Blocks—

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	36	8-19	3-9	0-1	5	5	1	0	19
Aubin Gateretse	Center	31	7-10	0-0	3-6	11	0	1	2	17
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	38	6-17	3-9	0-0	1	2	1	0	15
Josh Smith	F	28	3-6	0-0	3-4	6	2	0	1	9
Alec Oglesby	G	34	3-9	2-6	0-0	5	2	0	0	8
Tristan Gross	G	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cyncier Harrison	Guard	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Treyton Thompson	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Naeem Lewis	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Damian Forrest	Forward	33	9-13	0-0	1-1	8	1	0	19
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	36	6-10	2-4	2-4	10	0	1	16
Dallas Howell	F	27	5-10	4-9	0-0	4	2	0	14
Jacari Lane	G	34	3-13	1-3	4-4	5	5	0	11
KJ Johnson	Guard	28	3-7	0-1	2-3	3	4	0	8
Josiah Fulcher	Guard	13	2-3	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	5
Will Soucie	Guard	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	4
Canin Jefferson	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Detalian Brown	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

108.8Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency108.8

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

50.0%Effective FG%55.6%

50.5%True Shooting %57.9%

7.7%Turnover Rate10.4%

16.7%Free Throw Rate21.0%

39.4%3-Point Rate30.6%

2.60Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

North Alabama won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.