Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Jacksonville State

43.8%UTEP

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -128

UTEP

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 71

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreUTEP 70

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricUTEP

51.2MMH Power Index44.4

108.2Offensive Efficiency102.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

6.4Net Efficiency-4.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule1.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

67.2Tempo67.6

51.0%Effective FG%49.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

44.5%Free Throw Rate35.6%

4.3Average Margin-3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.2–102.6), defensive efficiency (101.8–107.1), net efficiency (6.4–-4.5).

UTEP COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

71—79

UTEP

UTEP by 8 • 75.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATUTEP

20-48FG25-56

42.0%FG%45.0%

3-123PT6-21

25.0%3PT%29.0%

28-39FT23-29

72.0%FT%79.0%

37Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists13

19Turnovers14

9Steals9

7Blocks2

25Fouls25

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KyKy Tandy	Guard	28	4-13	3-7	4-4	2	1	3	0	15
Mason Nicholson	C	20	5-6	0-0	3-6	9	0	0	3	13
Quincy Clark	Guard	28	3-8	0-1	6-8	4	4	2	0	12
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	34	3-4	0-0	3-3	4	3	2	1	9
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	28	2-6	0-2	4-5	6	0	1	0	8
Juwan Perdue	Forward	20	2-7	0-1	4-5	7	0	0	0	8
Caleb Johnson	F	21	0-1	0-1	4-8	5	1	1	1	4
Matt Mayers	Forward	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2	2
Travis Roberts	SG	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UTEP

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Otis Frazier III	Forward	26	5-11	2-4	5-5	4	2	1	0	17
Corey Camper Jr.	G	28	3-7	1-3	5-8	2	1	2	0	12
David Terrell Jr.	G	33	2-7	0-1	6-7	3	1	1	0	10
Tae Hardy	Guard	32	4-10	1-6	1-3	3	3	2	0	10
Trey Horton III	G	19	3-7	2-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	10
Zid Powell	Guard	23	2-4	0-1	3-3	3	4	1	1	7
Kevin Kalu	Forward	17	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	6
Elijah Jones	F	5	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	3
Calvin Solomon	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	2
Derick Hamilton	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

75.2Possessions75.2

94.4Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency94.4

-10.6Net Efficiency10.6

44.8%Effective FG%50.0%

53.4%True Shooting %56.6%

25.5%Turnover Rate18.5%

81.3%Free Throw Rate51.8%

25.0%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.47Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

UTEP won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 75.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.