Eastern Washington

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.2%Eastern Washington

65.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -6.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -192

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEastern Washington 75

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Eastern WashingtonMetricMontana State

52.3MMH Power Index53.6

112.2Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-1.3Net Efficiency9.5

1.8Strength of Schedule-3.7

12.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

69.6Tempo68.1

54.1%Effective FG%55.1%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

36.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-0.9Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.4–112.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.5), net efficiency (9.5–-1.3).

Eastern Washington COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.7), recent form (12.0–4.9), offensive rebounding (30.6–28.1).

Final

Eastern Washington

60—70

Montana State

Montana State by 10 • 72.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Eastern WashingtonTEAM STATMontana State

22-49FG24-65

45.0%FG%37.0%

2-183PT9-33

11.0%3PT%27.0%

14-21FT13-21

67.0%FT%62.0%

36Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds14

9Assists11

18Turnovers12

5Steals11

4Blocks1

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Eastern Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Casey Jones	G	32	4-5	0-0	4-7	6	1	0	1	12
Cedric Coward	Guard	36	4-8	1-4	2-2	9	1	0	1	11
LeJuan Watts	G	22	4-8	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	1	8
Jake Kyman	Guard	30	3-10	1-6	0-0	6	1	0	0	7
Ethan Price	Forward	23	2-4	0-1	3-4	3	1	1	1	7
Dane Erikstrup	Forward	23	2-9	0-4	3-4	1	1	1	0	7
Ellis Magnuson	Guard	29	2-4	0-2	2-4	3	4	2	0	6
Sebastian Hartmann	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	31	5-12	3-7	8-10	7	5	6	0	21
Brian Goracke	Forward	30	4-16	1-10	3-6	6	1	1	0	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	32	4-11	1-6	2-2	10	0	0	0	11
Brandon Walker	F	20	5-10	1-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	11
Eddie Turner III	Guard	24	4-8	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	9
Tyler Patterson	Guard	36	2-5	2-5	0-1	0	2	1	0	6
Chika Nduka	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jaden Geron	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-1	1	1	0	1	0
John Olmsted	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.0Possessions72.0

83.3Offensive Efficiency97.2

97.2Defensive Efficiency83.3

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

46.9%Effective FG%43.8%

50.9%True Shooting %46.7%

25.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

42.9%Free Throw Rate32.3%

36.7%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Montana State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.