Long Beach State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.8%Long Beach State

38.2%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLong Beach State -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINELong Beach State -162

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 80

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 77

Team Comparison

Long Beach StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

41.1MMH Power Index32.2

103.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

107.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

-4.0Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule-1.7

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

72.2Tempo73.0

51.5%Effective FG%46.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

26.3%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

31.1%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-2.9Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Long Beach State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLong Beach State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.1–32.2), offensive efficiency (103.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.8–112.6), net efficiency (-4.0–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.3), free throw rate (43.8–31.1).

Final

Long Beach State

76—82

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Bakersfield by 6 • 73.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Long Beach StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

24-55FG26-58

44.0%FG%45.0%

3-123PT11-20

25.0%3PT%55.0%

25-33FT19-21

76.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists13

14Turnovers16

8Steals8

6Blocks5

20Fouls28

Player Box Score

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ George	G	42	9-14	0-0	10-10	7	1	2	0	28
Jadon Jones	G	44	4-10	2-5	3-5	4	3	3	1	13
Lassina Traore	F	35	4-9	0-0	3-5	8	0	0	3	11
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	43	3-7	0-0	3-7	5	6	1	1	9
Isa Silva	G	11	2-3	1-1	2-2	2	1	0	1	7
Messiah Thompson	Guard	28	0-9	0-5	4-4	2	2	1	0	4
Jason Hart Jr.	Guard	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Amari Stroud	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Chayce Polynice	Center	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	43	11-22	3-7	9-9	2	8	2	0	34
Marvin McGhee III	G	41	7-13	6-10	2-2	10	0	0	0	22
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	28	1-3	1-2	3-4	6	3	2	3	6
Corey Stephenson	G	21	2-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	6
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	33	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	4
Kareem Watson	F	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	10	1-5	1-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	4
Dalph Panopio	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Alexander	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tom Mark	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.9Possessions73.9

102.8Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency102.8

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

46.4%Effective FG%54.3%

53.8%True Shooting %60.3%

19.0%Turnover Rate21.6%

60.0%Free Throw Rate36.2%

21.8%3-Point Rate34.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Cal State Bakersfield won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.