Oregon logo

Oregon

12-19
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
39.1%Oregon
60.9%USC
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADUSC -4.7
PROJECTED TOTAL152.8
MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -156
USC logo

USC

18-14
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreOregon 74
Projected Total152.8
Projected ScoreUSC 79

Team Comparison

OregonMetricUSC
48.9MMH Power Index48.3
106.4Offensive Efficiency108.5
110.7Defensive Efficiency107.6
-4.3Net Efficiency0.9
6.0Strength of Schedule2.5
-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0
66.7Tempo72.4
49.9%Effective FG%50.7%
17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%
31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%
36.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%
-2.9Average Margin0.7
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.5–106.4), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.7), net efficiency (0.9–-4.3), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.9).
Oregon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.9–48.3), strength of schedule (6.0–2.5), recent form (-6.7–-16.0).
Final
Oregon logo
Oregon
78—69
USC logo
USC
Oregon by 9 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATUSC
24-65FG27-62
37.0%FG%44.0%
12-323PT9-26
38.0%3PT%35.0%
18-21FT6-6
86.0%FT%100.0%
35Rebounds35
17Offensive Rebounds12
19Assists21
9Turnovers14
8Steals6
6Blocks14
11Fouls19

Player Box Score

Oregon
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Jackson ShelstadG357-134-62-226200020
Kario OquendoGuard274-112-42-355200012
Jermaine CouisnardGuard342-121-86-871200011
N'Faly DanteCenter304-60-03-351020011
Jadrian TraceyG253-93-52-251100011
Kwame Evans Jr.F193-71-41-13112008
Brennan Rigsby Jr.G221-71-52-22201005
Mahamadou DiawaraForward80-00-00-01201000
USC
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Boogie EllisGuard345-163-114-422110017
Oziyah SellersG265-92-30-002000012
Arrinten PageF194-60-10-03004008
Vince IwuchukwuC144-40-00-04111008
Joshua MorganForward262-40-02-25404006
DJ RodmanForward252-52-30-07112006
Bronny JamesGuard222-52-20-04720006
Kijani WrightF142-40-00-03001004
Kobe JohnsonGuard201-90-60-05411002

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0
116.4Offensive Efficiency103.0
103.0Defensive Efficiency116.4
13.4Net Efficiency-13.4
46.2%Effective FG%50.8%
52.0%True Shooting %53.2%
13.4%Turnover Rate20.9%
32.3%Free Throw Rate9.7%
49.2%3-Point Rate41.9%
2.11Assist / Turnover1.50
Game Summary
Oregon won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.