UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%UC Davis

69.9%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -6.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -232

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 80

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Santa Barbara

48.4MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

103.7Defensive Efficiency106.1

3.5Net Efficiency7.1

-1.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

72.4Tempo68.5

52.3%Effective FG%54.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.5Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Davis

79—69

UC Santa Barbara

UC Davis by 10 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

29-54FG26-52

54.0%FG%50.0%

6-193PT1-8

32.0%3PT%13.0%

15-21FT16-18

71.0%FT%89.0%

31Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds5

18Assists10

12Turnovers16

10Steals9

4Blocks—

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	38	7-19	3-10	7-8	7	6	4	1	24
TY Johnson	Guard	34	7-13	2-5	8-11	3	3	2	0	24
Kane Milling	Guard	34	6-8	1-1	0-0	5	2	1	0	13
Niko Rocak	F	31	5-7	0-1	0-2	9	2	0	3	10
Pablo Tamba	F	26	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	1	0	4
Sione Lose	Guard	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Francesco Borra	Forward	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	32	8-18	0-1	9-10	6	5	3	25
Yohan Traore	F	34	8-11	0-0	4-4	4	1	0	20
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	32	4-9	0-1	1-1	2	1	3	9
Jason Fontenet II	G	28	2-5	1-2	2-3	5	1	1	7
Ben Shtolzberg	G	17	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	4
Cole Anderson	Guard	34	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	2
Ariel Bland	F	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Kilian Brockhoff	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

114.0Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency114.0

14.4Net Efficiency-14.4

59.3%Effective FG%51.0%

61.7%True Shooting %57.0%

17.9%Turnover Rate22.4%

38.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

35.2%3-Point Rate15.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.