Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%Ohio State

61.7%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -161

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 72

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreIowa 76

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricIowa

64.5MMH Power Index64.2

118.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

108.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

10.0Net Efficiency13.2

6.4Strength of Schedule5.3

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

67.2Tempo63.0

56.9%Effective FG%56.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

38.3%Free Throw Rate36.2%

6.7Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–64.2), strength of schedule (6.4–5.3), recent form (6.3–2.0), shooting efficiency (56.9–56.6).

Iowa COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (118.4–118.1), defensive efficiency (105.2–108.1), net efficiency (13.2–10.0).

Final

Ohio State

77—79

Iowa

Iowa by 2 • 64.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATIowa

27-58FG29-54

47.0%FG%54.0%

7-163PT3-10

44.0%3PT%30.0%

16-21FT18-22

76.0%FT%82.0%

30Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists13

10Turnovers9

4Steals6

3Blocks6

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamison Battle	Forward	25	6-12	3-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	17
Bruce Thornton	G	35	4-8	2-4	4-4	2	5	0	0	14
Felix Okpara	F	31	5-7	0-0	4-6	8	2	2	2	14
Roddy Gayle Jr.	G	38	4-12	1-4	3-3	4	3	1	0	12
Devin Royal	F	18	4-8	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	9
Evan Mahaffey	F	31	3-7	0-0	0-0	5	4	0	1	6
Dale Bonner	Guard	13	1-3	1-2	2-4	1	0	0	0	5
Bowen Hardman	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zed Key	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tony Perkins	Guard	33	6-12	0-1	8-9	7	4	1	0	20
Payton Sandfort	Forward	37	6-11	2-6	1-2	3	2	2	2	15
Josh Dix	G	28	7-10	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	15
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	8-8	2	0	0	1	10
Ben Krikke	Forward	33	4-9	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	1	8
Owen Freeman	F	22	3-5	0-0	1-2	7	1	1	1	7
Ladji Dembele	F	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	2
Dasonte Bowen	G	5	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Pryce Sandfort	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brock Harding	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.8Possessions64.8

118.8Offensive Efficiency121.9

121.9Defensive Efficiency118.8

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

52.6%Effective FG%56.5%

56.6%True Shooting %61.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate14.0%

36.2%Free Throw Rate40.7%

27.6%3-Point Rate18.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Iowa won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.