Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Penn State

90.7%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -975

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreIndiana 85

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricIndiana

42.3MMH Power Index58.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-8.4Net Efficiency8.9

5.3Strength of Schedule5.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

67.5Tempo67.4

53.4%Effective FG%56.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-5.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–117.6), net efficiency (8.9–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–5.2).

Final

Penn State

85—71

Indiana

Penn State by 14 • 61.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATIndiana

31-54FG25-52

57.0%FG%48.0%

12-223PT5-19

55.0%3PT%26.0%

11-16FT16-19

69.0%FT%84.0%

22Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds11

17Assists13

6Turnovers13

7Steals2

—Blocks2

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	40	8-14	3-5	3-4	2	8	2	22
Zach Hicks	Forward	30	5-10	4-8	5-5	5	0	2	19
Qudus Wahab	Forward	31	7-8	0-0	0-0	7	0	2	14
Jameel Brown	G	17	4-5	4-5	2-3	0	2	1	14
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	28	4-9	1-3	1-2	3	4	0	10
Puff Johnson	G	18	2-3	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	4
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	24	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Demetrius Lilley	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
Leo O'Boyle	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kel'el Ware	Center	37	8-12	1-2	8-8	11	0	0	1	25
Malik Reneau	F	32	6-10	0-1	4-5	5	3	0	0	16
Mackenzie Mgbako	F	32	4-10	2-6	3-4	5	2	0	1	13
Trey Galloway	Guard	36	5-12	2-7	0-0	1	6	2	0	12
CJ Gunn	G	11	1-3	0-1	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Gabe Cupps	G	33	1-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Anthony Leal	Guard	14	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Anthony Walker	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.8Possessions61.8

137.5Offensive Efficiency114.9

114.9Defensive Efficiency137.5

22.7Net Efficiency-22.7

68.5%Effective FG%52.9%

69.0%True Shooting %58.2%

9.9%Turnover Rate20.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate36.5%

40.7%3-Point Rate36.5%

2.83Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Penn State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 61.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.