Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Virginia

37.9%Clemson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -164

Clemson

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 73

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreClemson 70

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricClemson

68.9MMH Power Index59.9

119.0Offensive Efficiency112.6

101.8Defensive Efficiency101.4

17.2Net Efficiency11.2

5.2Strength of Schedule4.6

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

67.6Tempo63.6

55.0%Effective FG%53.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate14.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate38.1%

11.6Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–59.9), offensive efficiency (119.0–112.6), net efficiency (17.2–11.2), strength of schedule (5.2–4.6).

Clemson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–101.8), ball security (14.0–16.0), free throw rate (38.1–33.2).

Final

Virginia

66—65

Clemson

Virginia by 1 • 56.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATClemson

26-59FG20-56

44.0%FG%36.0%

5-153PT7-20

33.0%3PT%35.0%

9-13FT18-21

69.0%FT%86.0%

38Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists9

6Turnovers4

3Steals3

4Blocks2

17Fouls11

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Groves	Forward	28	7-9	3-4	0-1	4	0	0	1	17
Reece Beekman	Guard	36	5-17	0-4	4-4	0	4	3	0	14
Isaac McKneely	G	33	6-15	1-5	1-1	3	2	0	0	14
Jordan Minor	Forward	29	4-7	0-0	1-2	9	0	0	2	9
Ryan Dunn	Forward	27	2-5	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	1	5
Andrew Rohde	G	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Blake Buchanan	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Taine Murray	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Dante Harris	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	0

Clemson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
PJ Hall	Center	35	4-16	1-6	10-12	6	1	0	1	19
Joseph Girard III	Guard	32	5-8	4-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	14
Ian Schieffelin	Forward	33	4-7	1-1	4-5	9	3	1	0	13
Chase Hunter	Guard	28	4-8	0-2	4-4	2	0	0	1	12
Joshua Beadle	G	16	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Chauncey Wiggins	F	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Jack Clark	Forward	18	0-5	0-2	0-0	8	2	0	0	0
RJ Godfrey	F	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Dillon Hunter	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

56.6Possessions56.6

116.6Offensive Efficiency114.8

114.8Defensive Efficiency116.6

1.8Net Efficiency-1.8

48.3%Effective FG%42.0%

50.6%True Shooting %49.3%

10.7%Turnover Rate7.0%

22.0%Free Throw Rate37.5%

25.4%3-Point Rate35.7%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Virginia won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 56.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.