Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.2%Southern Illinois

67.8%UIC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -211

UIC

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 70

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreUIC 75

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricUIC

54.6MMH Power Index56.7

103.4Offensive Efficiency110.5

98.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

4.9Net Efficiency7.2

1.6Strength of Schedule0.1

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.2

70.6Tempo68.3

49.5%Effective FG%50.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

32.3%Free Throw Rate37.2%

3.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UIC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUIC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.7–54.6), offensive efficiency (110.5–103.4), net efficiency (7.2–4.9), recent form (9.2–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.3), strength of schedule (1.6–0.1), ball security (17.0–17.6).

Final

Southern Illinois

74—71

UIC

Southern Illinois by 3 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATUIC

22-48FG20-45

46.0%FG%44.0%

4-183PT6-16

22.0%3PT%38.0%

26-33FT25-27

79.0%FT%93.0%

30Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists12

18Turnovers18

5Steals3

2Blocks4

26Fouls29

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	5-15	1-5	18-20	5	6	0	0	29
AJ Ferguson	Guard	37	6-10	0-2	4-6	10	2	2	2	16
Clarence Rupert	Forward	21	4-4	0-0	1-3	4	0	1	0	9
Trent Brown	Guard	33	2-10	2-10	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Troy D'Amico	Forward	13	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
Scottie Ebube	C	10	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	29	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
R.J. McGee	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	12	0-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Trey Miller	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Rivera	Guard	39	7-13	3-5	11-11	3	1	0	0	28
CJ Jones	G	13	2-5	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	8
Ethan Pickett	G	27	2-3	0-1	2-3	1	1	1	0	6
Marquise Kennedy	Guard	18	1-3	0-1	4-4	0	1	1	0	6
Cameron Fens	C	7	2-3	0-0	2-3	4	1	0	2	6
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	26	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	2	1	0	5
Toby Okani	Guard	29	2-9	0-1	0-0	11	3	0	1	4
Steven Clay	G	31	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

103.8Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency103.8

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

50.0%Effective FG%51.1%

58.1%True Shooting %61.4%

24.8%Turnover Rate25.8%

68.8%Free Throw Rate60.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.