Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.9%Murray State

79.1%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -378

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 69

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 79

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricNorthern Iowa

53.6MMH Power Index61

115.0Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.0Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.0Net Efficiency12.0

3.5Strength of Schedule2.2

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

72.3Tempo64.1

54.0%Effective FG%54.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.4%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

39.1%Free Throw Rate26.2%

2.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–53.6), defensive efficiency (96.4–111.0), net efficiency (12.0–4.0), recent form (13.9–-9.5).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–108.4), strength of schedule (3.5–2.2), offensive rebounding (32.7–21.9).

Final

Murray State

71—43

Northern Iowa

Murray State by 28 • 58.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

28-59FG15-49

47.0%FG%31.0%

6-223PT6-24

27.0%3PT%25.0%

9-10FT7-13

90.0%FT%54.0%

38Rebounds29

11Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists6

4Turnovers12

6Steals—

3Blocks3

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Perry	Guard	31	8-16	1-7	0-0	6	0	2	0	17
JaCobi Wood	Guard	35	5-6	2-2	2-2	8	3	2	0	14
Quincy Anderson	Guard	31	4-13	2-7	2-2	3	0	1	0	12
Alden Applewhite	F	17	2-4	1-2	4-4	0	1	1	0	9
Nick Ellington	F	27	3-5	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	3	7
Brian Moore Jr.	G	20	3-8	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Malek Abdelgowad	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Samuel Murray	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fletcher Boatright	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lawrent Rice	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Landon Wolf	G	17	3-7	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	9
Tytan Anderson	Guard	22	2-5	1-1	3-5	7	0	0	8
Nate Heise	G	22	3-8	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	6
Trey Campbell	G	23	2-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	1	5
Michael Duax	F	19	1-2	1-1	1-2	3	1	0	4
Cole Henry	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	3
Kyle Pock	F	21	1-5	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	2
RJ Taylor	G	21	1-4	0-1	0-2	3	2	0	2
Jacob Hutson	Center	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2
Drew Daniel	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2
Bowen Born	Guard	18	0-5	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.0Possessions58.0

122.4Offensive Efficiency74.1

74.1Defensive Efficiency122.4

48.3Net Efficiency-48.3

52.5%Effective FG%36.7%

55.7%True Shooting %39.0%

7.0%Turnover Rate20.3%

16.9%Free Throw Rate26.5%

37.3%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Murray State won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 58.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.