Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.4%Belmont

33.6%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -198

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 80

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreMissouri State 76

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricMissouri State

61.8MMH Power Index51.1

118.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency108.4

14.9Net Efficiency2.1

-0.2Strength of Schedule0.5

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

70.7Tempo67.9

60.7%Effective FG%51.8%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

32.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

10.5Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–108.4), net efficiency (14.9–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.2), ball security (16.4–17.8), offensive rebounding (33.0–28.8).

Final

Belmont

80—87

Missouri State

Missouri State by 7 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATMissouri State

30-66FG31-62

45.0%FG%50.0%

11-253PT7-21

44.0%3PT%33.0%

9-14FT18-22

64.0%FT%82.0%

27Rebounds46

5Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists10

7Turnovers14

9Steals1

3Blocks4

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	37	8-11	4-6	2-3	3	2	0	0	22
Malik Dia	F	31	6-18	3-8	5-9	7	1	2	1	20
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	26	6-12	1-2	2-2	1	7	2	1	15
Cade Tyson	G	33	4-11	2-5	0-0	6	1	2	0	10
Brigham Rogers	F	11	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Jayce Willingham	Guard	32	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Isaiah Walker	G	24	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	3	2	0	2
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	32	9-12	3-5	2-2	13	0	1	1	23
Alston Mason	Guard	36	7-14	1-5	7-9	4	3	0	0	22
Donovan Clay	Guard	37	5-13	2-4	3-4	7	3	0	0	15
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	23	3-3	0-0	4-5	4	2	0	2	10
Cesare Edwards	Center	21	4-9	0-0	2-2	8	0	0	1	10
Raphe Ayres	Guard	23	1-5	1-5	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Matthew Lee	Guard	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
NJ Benson	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

107.2Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency107.2

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

53.8%Effective FG%55.6%

55.1%True Shooting %60.0%

9.4%Turnover Rate18.8%

21.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

37.9%3-Point Rate33.9%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.