Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.9%Northwestern

49.1%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -104

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Projected Total141.5

Projected ScoreMinnesota 71

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricMinnesota

55.4MMH Power Index50.5

111.6Offensive Efficiency109.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.7

1.8Net Efficiency1.4

5.6Strength of Schedule3.2

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

65.6Tempo63.6

51.9%Effective FG%54.1%

13.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

34.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

1.2Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (111.6–109.1), net efficiency (1.8–1.4), strength of schedule (5.6–3.2).

Minnesota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.7–109.8), shooting efficiency (54.1–51.9), free throw rate (36.9–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

66—75

Minnesota

Minnesota by 9 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATMinnesota

21-55FG26-56

38.0%FG%46.0%

11-233PT7-23

48.0%3PT%30.0%

13-20FT16-21

65.0%FT%76.0%

36Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists19

17Turnovers12

6Steals8

6Blocks6

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	44	5-14	3-5	7-10	5	7	4	0	20
Ryan Langborg	Guard	40	6-12	4-6	0-2	3	1	1	0	16
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	39	4-10	1-3	2-4	10	2	0	0	11
Ty Berry	Guard	39	3-11	2-8	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Nick Martinelli	F	19	2-5	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Matthew Nicholson	Center	28	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	4	4
Luke Hunger	F	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	1	2
Blake Preston	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	41	5-14	1-4	9-11	2	1	1	2	20
Cam Christie	Guard	42	6-12	3-7	0-0	6	3	2	0	15
Pharrel Payne	F	33	7-8	0-0	0-2	9	2	0	4	14
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	38	4-6	1-2	4-4	4	10	2	0	13
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	44	3-7	2-4	2-2	5	3	3	0	10
Parker Fox	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	9	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Braeden Carrington	G	11	0-4	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Ihnen	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

91.9Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency91.9

-12.5Net Efficiency12.5

48.2%Effective FG%52.7%

51.2%True Shooting %56.8%

23.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

36.4%Free Throw Rate37.5%

41.8%3-Point Rate41.1%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.58

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.