California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.6%California

47.4%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -111

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreArizona State 77

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricArizona State

56.5MMH Power Index51

111.8Offensive Efficiency108.1

104.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.0Net Efficiency-2.8

2.8Strength of Schedule7.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

69.9Tempo70.6

52.6%Effective FG%51.3%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

4.9Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–51.0), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.1), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.9), net efficiency (7.0–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–2.8), offensive rebounding (29.6–26.6), free throw rate (40.2–36.8).

Final

California

81—66

Arizona State

California by 15 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATArizona State

27-54FG27-70

50.0%FG%39.0%

11-223PT8-24

50.0%3PT%33.0%

16-19FT4-7

84.0%FT%57.0%

39Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds15

18Assists12

13Turnovers9

6Steals8

3Blocks1

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	37	8-12	0-0	4-5	14	5	0	0	20
Jalen Cone	Guard	29	6-9	3-5	4-5	4	3	1	1	19
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	36	5-14	1-6	6-7	10	5	0	0	17
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	36	4-9	4-6	0-0	2	2	4	0	12
Jalen Celestine	G	29	2-4	2-2	2-2	2	2	0	0	8
Grant Newell	F	23	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Rodney Brown	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Gus Larson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamiya Neal	Guard	34	6-16	2-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	14
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	28	5-12	4-8	0-0	6	2	2	0	14
Frankie Collins	G	36	6-16	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	20	6-11	0-0	1-3	7	2	1	0	13
Kamari Lands	G	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	5	0	2	1	7
Adam Miller	G	31	0-4	0-2	2-2	5	2	0	0	2
Bryant Selebangue	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	2
Jose Perez	Guard	13	0-4	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	1
Akil Watson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braelon Green	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

120.5Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency120.5

22.3Net Efficiency-22.3

60.2%Effective FG%44.3%

64.3%True Shooting %45.0%

19.4%Turnover Rate13.4%

35.2%Free Throw Rate10.0%

40.7%3-Point Rate34.3%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

California won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.